1809号热带风暴“山神”→TD09(11W.Son-Tinh) - 迅速西行影响华南沿海,回马枪后复活再袭琼粤

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tcfa_gw
2018-07-09 09:27
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92W INVEST 180709 0000 6.0N 152.0E WPAC 15 1010

图片:20180709.0100.hm8.x.ir1km_bw.92WINVEST.15kts-1010mb-60N-1520E.100pc.jpg

[iam最小值于2018-07-25 14:24编辑了帖子]
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ただひとつの“今”を歌いつづける。
327
2018-07-09 11:11
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1楼#
仅CMC/GEM明确支持发展并预报登陆浙江

图片:gem_mslp_uv850_wpac_fh84-240.gif


[327于2018-07-09 11:15编辑了帖子]
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东南风
2018-07-09 15:43
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還沒發展起來就預報登錄點了,那不是差不多兩連擊啊
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妹空酱
2018-07-11 09:57
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327
2018-07-11 10:40
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JMA:LPA
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 143E WNW SLOWLY.

图片:18071109.png

[327于2018-07-11 10:50编辑了帖子]
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红豆棒冰冰
2018-07-11 11:24
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ABPW10 PGTW 110300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/110300Z-110600ZJUL2018//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110152ZJUL2018//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING. //
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 110000Z, TYPHOON 10W (MARIA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N
120.1E, APPROXIMATELY 109 NM NORTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, AND HAD
TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 110300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
10.5N 144.5E, APPROXIMATELY 165 NM SOUTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION BEGINNING
TO WRAP INTO A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION(LLC). THE UPPER LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT IS OVERALL FAVORABLE, WITH LOW (5-15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND ADEQUATE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW DUE TO A DEFINED POLEWARD
OUTFLOW CHANNEL. SSTS ARE WARM (28-29C) IN THE NWPAC AND WILL
SUPPORT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY FAVOR A
NORTHWEST TRAJECTORY AS THE STORM DEVELOPS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS,
BUT VARY IN TIMING AND INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 1. A. (1) WITH THE FINAL
WARNING INFORMATION FOR TYPHOON 10W AND ADDED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1)
AS LOW.//
NNNN

图片:abpwsair.jpg

[红豆棒冰冰于2018-07-11 12:14编辑了帖子]
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謙神
2018-07-11 14:23
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EC預測數天內移近巴士海峽一帶
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Mitch
2018-07-11 14:43
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7楼#
用户被禁言,该主题自动屏蔽!
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禾愛糖
2018-07-11 15:17
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8楼#
EC這報是92W以TY強度登陸珠三。
Practice makes perfect.
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歆中思语
2018-07-11 15:18
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9楼#
EC新报稳定西行登陆台山,后面好像还有一个
[歆中思语于2018-07-11 15:24编辑了帖子]
没有风的日子,我的世界一片沉寂。没有你的岁月,我的生活一片死灰。
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