tracyeattip
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[SH(13-14)]莫桑比克海峡90S-19.0S 38.5E

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更多 发布于:2014-01-23 16:19
90S INVEST 140123 0600  19.0S   38.5E SHEM   15  1010
[iam最小值于2014-01-23 23:07编辑了帖子]
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强度党一枚
tracyeattip
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1楼#
发布于:2014-01-23 20:42
稍早前风场扫描显示LLCC已成型
[tracyeattip于2014-01-23 20:58编辑了帖子]
强度党一枚
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qqqwwweeerrras
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2楼#
发布于:2014-01-23 21:07
对流螺旋性都不错,涡度泛红

图片:wm5vor.gif

[iam最小值于2014-01-23 23:06编辑了帖子]
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Mitch
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3楼#
发布于:2014-01-23 21:16
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iam最小值
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4楼#
发布于:2014-01-23 23:10
Over the Mozambique channel :
Monsoon flow extends far away southwards and feeds a rather wide convective area from 15S to
23S.
Meteosat7 satellite animations reveal a mid-level clockwise circulation probably existing within this
Disturbed Weather Area and approximately centred at 0900Z near 18.9S/38.7E.
From 00Z and 08Z, deep convective activity has persisted near this Meso-Vortex centre but is
currently weakening.
0906Z Oscat swath shows an elongated North-South clockwise circulation , approximately centred
near 19.4S/38.6E, a little southward of the aforementioned mid-level vortex centre estimated
location.
10mn Maximum Winds are estimated at about 15kt gusting to 25kt and MSLP at about 1007 hPa.
This disturbed weather area is expected to globally shift South-Westwards on the north-western
edge of the subtropical low/mid levels high pressures.
Associated heavy rain locally thundery and torrential should occur over the Mozambique coastlines
between Quelimane , Beira and Inhambane and heavy or torrential rainy episodes are expected over
this coastline area until Monday 27.
The vicinity of the Mozambique coastline strongly limit the low level convergence equatorward and
appears therefore unfavourable for further deepening.
Most European and American available NWP models analyse a Low in this area but without deepen
it significantly at short or medium range.

图片:vis0-lalo.jpg

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Mitch
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5楼#
发布于:2014-01-24 21:19
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t02436
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6楼#
发布于:2014-01-24 22:07
NRL撤。。。
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