tracyeattip
论坛版主-副热带高压
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[SH(13-14)]萨摩亚以东热带扰动19F(91P) 13.0S 167.0W-重编93P

楼主#
更多 发布于:2014-03-11 19:53
91P INVEST 140311 1200  13.0S  167.0W SHEM   15   NA
[iam最小值于2014-03-15 07:54编辑了帖子]
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强度党一枚
tracyeattip
论坛版主-副热带高压
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1楼#
发布于:2014-03-11 19:59
风场一枚
强度党一枚
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Luigi728
论坛版主-副热带高压
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2楼#
发布于:2014-03-11 20:02
還多一個擾動?現在南半球已經總共有五個熱帶擾動或以上級別的系統了...
再一次相遇我會緊緊抱著你 緊緊抱著你......
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禾愛糖
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3楼#
发布于:2014-03-11 21:51
這個過了日界線就是東南太平洋的
Practice makes perfect.
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Mitch
禁止发言-干空气
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4楼#
发布于:2014-03-12 14:20
用户被禁言,该主题自动屏蔽!
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beta
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5楼#
发布于:2014-03-12 14:22
禾愛糖锛氝@個過了日界線就是東南太平洋的鍥炲埌鍘熷笘
按照这种定论东南太平洋的TX每年都有一堆
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t02436
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6楼#
发布于:2014-03-12 17:59
FMS编号19F

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD19F [1004HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 15.1S 168.5W
AT 120600 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL
SURFACE REPORTS. TD19F SLOW MOVING. SST AROUND 30 DEGREES CELCIUS.

ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR. CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTANT. CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO 700HPA. SYSTEM LIES UNDER AND UPPER RIDGE IN
A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHWARDS WITH
SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24-48 HOURS IS LOW.
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iam最小值
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7楼#
发布于:2014-03-14 17:33
NRL今天凌晨撤编,FMS虽然早上的概述还有提到不过中午展望中就没有提了。未来在萨摩亚以东有新扰动生成,那个可能才是EC预报的系统。
 
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 14/0004 UTC 2014 UTC.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD19F [1005HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 14.4S 168.9W
AT 132100 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT/GOES VIS/IR IMAGERY AND
PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. TD19F SLOW MOVING. SST AROUND 30 DEGREES
CELCIUS.
ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR PAST. CONVECTION HAS DECREASED IN AREAL
EXTENT PAST 12 HOURS. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO 700HPA.
SYSTEM LIES NORTH OF AN UPPER RIDGE IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHWARDS WITH
SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.
POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24-48 HOURS IS LOW.

 

图片:20140313_1652_goes15_x_ir1km_bw_91PINVEST_15kts-1010mb-165S-1695W_100pc.jpg

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iam最小值
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8楼#
发布于:2014-03-14 18:44
iam最小值锛歂RL今天凌晨撤编,FMS虽然早上的概述还有提到不过中午展望中就没有提了。未来在萨摩亚以东有新扰动生成,那个可能才是EC预报的系统。
 
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to ...
鍥炲埌鍘熷笘
额……FMS还没有撤,先看看吧,如果NRL另外编号就另开帖。
 
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 14/0909 UTC 2014 UTC.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD19F [1007HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 15.0S 167.0W
AT 140600 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT/GOES IR IMAGERY AND
PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. TD19F SLOW MOVING. SST AROUND 30 DEGREES
CELCIUS.
ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR PAST IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. CONVECTION HAS
NOT INCREAESED MUCH. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO 700HPA. SYSTEM
LIES UNDER AN UPPER RIDGE IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHEAST WARDS WITH
SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.
POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24-48 HOURS IS LOW.
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