nasdaq
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
  • 注册日期2011-08-26
  • 最后登录2018-06-19
  • 粉丝151
  • 关注12
  • 发帖数839
  • 来自
阅读:3577回复:28

[SH(14-15)]库克群岛西南热带低压14F(90P) - JTWC认定Sub-TC

楼主#
更多 发布于:2015-03-26 02:48
90P INVEST 150325 1800  10.0S  170.0W SHEM   15   NA

图片:20150325.1832.mtsat-2.x.ir1km_bw.90PINVEST.15kts-NAmb-100S-1700W.100pc.jpg

[新细明体于2015-04-02 03:40编辑了帖子]
2条评分, 金钱 +3 威望 +3
喜欢0 评分2
刚打酱油回来
超强台风
超强台风
  • 注册日期2012-11-16
  • 最后登录2018-06-19
  • 粉丝194
  • 关注6
  • 发帖数6297
  • 来自
1楼#
发布于:2015-03-27 14:04
ABPW10 PGTW 270600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/270600Z-280600ZMAR2015//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270151ZMAR2015//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 270000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (FOUR) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 6.8N 158.0E, APPROXIMATELY 13 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF POHNPEI,
AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING
TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.5S 170.3W,
APPROXIMATELY 54 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, AMERICAN SAMOA.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH AN ILL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
A 270330Z SSMIS REVEALS THE BULK OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE
NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT WITH FRAGMENTED CONVECTIVE BANDING AROUND THE
LLCC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN
AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A POINT-SOURCE DIRECTLY
OVERHEAD SUSTAINING THE CONVECTION AND PROVIDING EXCELLENT OUTFLOW.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.//
NNNN

图片:abpwsair.jpg


 

图片:20150327.0752.goes15.x.ir1km_bw.90PINVEST.20kts-1006mb-135S-1703W.100pc.jpg

[iam最小值于2015-03-27 16:21编辑了帖子]
人民的名义
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
iam最小值
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
  • 注册日期2011-07-16
  • 最后登录2018-06-20
  • 粉丝233
  • 关注25
  • 发帖数12946
  • 来自
2楼#
发布于:2015-03-28 20:27
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 28/0911 UTC 2015 UTC.
TROPICAL DISTRUBANCE 14F CENTER [1006HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 19.1S
167.3W AT 280600UTC. SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR/EIR
IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS.
ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR WITH CONVECTION PESISTANT OVER THE SUPPOSED
LLCC IN THE PAST 12 TO 18 HOURS. SYSTEM LIES UNDER A UPPER RIDGE IN A
LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. SST AROUND 29 DEGREE CELSIUS. CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO 500HPA.
GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THIS SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHEASTWARDS WITH
LITTLE INTENSIFICATION.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW.

图片:20150328.1152.goes15.x.ir1km_bw.90PINVEST.25kts-1004mb-204S-1668W.100pc.jpg


 

图片:vis_lalo-animated.gif

[iam最小值于2015-03-29 08:16编辑了帖子]
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
iam最小值
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
  • 注册日期2011-07-16
  • 最后登录2018-06-20
  • 粉丝233
  • 关注25
  • 发帖数12946
  • 来自
3楼#
发布于:2015-03-29 08:18
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 28/2258 UTC 2015 UTC.
TROPICAL DISTRUBANCE 14F CENTER [1006HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 20.0S
167.3W AT 281800UTC. SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR
IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS.
ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR WITH CONVECTION PESISTANT OVER THE SUPPOSED
LLCC IN THE PAST 12 TO 18 HOURS. SYSTEM LIES UNDER A UPPER RIDGE IN A
LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. SST AROUND 29 DEGREE CELSIUS. CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO 500HPA.
GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THIS SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHEASTWARDS WITH
LITTLE INTENSIFICATION.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS VERY LOW.
 

图片:vis_lalo-animated.gif

回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
327
327
强台风
强台风
  • 注册日期2013-12-31
  • 最后登录2018-06-19
  • 粉丝74
  • 关注37
  • 发帖数1453
  • 来自
4楼#
发布于:2015-03-29 14:14
NRL与FNMOC撤编
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.9S
168.7W HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
刚打酱油回来
超强台风
超强台风
  • 注册日期2012-11-16
  • 最后登录2018-06-19
  • 粉丝194
  • 关注6
  • 发帖数6297
  • 来自
5楼#
发布于:2015-03-29 18:52
WWPS21 NFFN 290900
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 29/0902 UTC 2015 UTC.
TROPICAL DISTRUBANCE 14F CENTER [1004HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 22.0S
164.5W AT 290600UTC. SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR
IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 29 DEGREE CELSIUS.
ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR WITH CONVECTION PESISTANT OVER THE SUPPOSED
LLCC. SYSTEM LIES UNDER A UPPER RIDGE IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO 700HPA.
GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THIS SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHEASTWARDS WITH
LITTLE INTENSIFICATION.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS VERY LOW.
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.
人民的名义
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
iam最小值
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
  • 注册日期2011-07-16
  • 最后登录2018-06-20
  • 粉丝233
  • 关注25
  • 发帖数12946
  • 来自
6楼#
发布于:2015-03-29 19:12
斐济可没有停编。对流虽有切离但还是能完整覆盖中心的,总觉得撤编早了点(不过也没人讨论了就不移出去了)。
 
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 29/0902 UTC 2015 UTC.
TROPICAL DISTRUBANCE 14F CENTER [1004HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 22.0S
164.5W AT 290600UTC. SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR
IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 29 DEGREE CELSIUS.
ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR WITH CONVECTION PESISTANT OVER THE SUPPOSED
LLCC. SYSTEM LIES UNDER A UPPER RIDGE IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO 700HPA.
GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THIS SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHEASTWARDS WITH
LITTLE INTENSIFICATION.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS VERY LOW.

 

图片:vis_lalo-animated.gif

回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
新细明体
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
  • 注册日期2013-03-29
  • 最后登录2018-06-19
  • 粉丝169
  • 关注33
  • 发帖数2465
  • 来自
7楼#
发布于:2015-03-29 22:25
老J又把它编回来了,不过认定subtropical
SH, 90, 2015032912,   , BEST,   0, 220S, 1610W,  35,  996, SS,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,
Hit you with that du du du~
回复(1) 喜欢(0)     评分
meow
世纪风王
世纪风王
  • 注册日期2011-09-08
  • 最后登录2018-06-20
  • 粉丝424
  • 关注38
  • 发帖数17423
  • 来自
8楼#
发布于:2015-03-29 22:36
新细明体锛毨螶又把它编回来了,不过认定subtropical
SH, 90, 2015032912,   , BEST,   0, 220S, 1610W,  35,  996, SS,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    ...
鍥炲埌鍘熷笘
分析 35kt 又弄成副热带,可能是规避编号。
Meow, a sex-starved pussy, gets aroused when everyone at the pool stares at her white and soaked up swimsuit turning see-through and exposing her tempting body.
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
327
327
强台风
强台风
  • 注册日期2013-12-31
  • 最后登录2018-06-19
  • 粉丝74
  • 关注37
  • 发帖数1453
  • 来自
9楼#
发布于:2015-03-29 22:45
SH90: (40kts)

图片:latestGLOBE.png

回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
上一页
游客

返回顶部