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[SH(14-15)]所罗门群岛99P - 8.4S 160.1E

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更多 发布于:2015-05-12 11:06
99P INVEST 150512 0000 7.0S 161.0E SHEM 15 1010

图片:20150512.0232.mtsat-2.x.ir1km_bw.99PINVEST.15kts-1010mb-70S-1610E.100pc.jpg

[1121578214A于2015-05-13 21:15编辑了帖子]
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1楼#
发布于:2015-05-12 13:18
GFS稍微调强,未来环流细小,可与Tracy相比,而且还有可能由巴布亚新几内亚命名
之前三月南太馈赠西太一个BAVI
现在西太还礼咯→_→
命运总是搞笑的,无处不在作弄着人。你脏兮兮,它笑嘻嘻。但是它让我遇见你。可也必须离开你。
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发布于:2015-05-12 19:24
FQPS01 NFFN 120600
MARINE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR ISLANDS AREA
EQUATOR TO 25S BETWEEN 160E AND 120W.
ISSUED BY FIJI METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE EQUATOR to 25S between 160E and
120W
issued by Fiji Meteorological Service May 120800 UTC.
PART 1 : WARNINGNIL.
PARTS 2 AND 3 : SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST VALID UNTIL May 130600 UTC.
 LOW L1 [1006HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 07.0S 162.0E AT 120600UTC. POSTION
POOR. SLOW MOVING.
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发布于:2015-05-12 19:38
GFS06Z的预报,99P以STS或C1的强度登陆巴新
如果成真那巴新时隔22年之后,再度有TC以TS以上的强度登陆。
上一个登陆巴新的TC是Adel,同样是五月风季外的TC
当年稍晚一点西太也有TC活动
[听着闹铃睡觉于2015-05-12 19:43编辑了帖子]
命运总是搞笑的,无处不在作弄着人。你脏兮兮,它笑嘻嘻。但是它让我遇见你。可也必须离开你。
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发布于:2015-05-12 23:27
IDQ10810
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Three Day Outlook for Coral Sea
Issued at 3:51 pm EST on Tuesday 12 May 2015
for the period until midnight EST Friday 15 May 2015.

Existing Cyclones in the  Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

A tropical low has developed near the Solomon Islands at approximately latitude
8.0 south, longitude 161.0 east. The low is expected to move slowly westward
during the next few days and may develop further.
The system will remain very far offshore during the forecast period and does not
pose an immediate threat to the Queeensland coast.
The official tropical cyclone season runs from 1 November to 30 April. This out
of season outlook is being issued due to the heightened risk of tropical cyclone
development.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
                                   Wednesday: Low
                                   Thursday: Moderate
                                   Friday: Moderate

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Low:          5% to 20%
Moderate:     20 to 50%                    High:         Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.
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发布于:2015-05-13 05:49
FQPS01 NFFN 121800
MARINE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR ISLANDS AREA
EQUATOR TO 25S BETWEEN 160E AND 120W.
ISSUED BY FIJI METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE May 122000 UTC.
PART 1 : WARNING NIL.
PARTS 2 AND 3 : SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST VALID UNTIL May 131800 UTC.
 LOW L [1005HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 08.0S 161.0E AT 121800UTC SLOW MOVING.
POSTION POOR.
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发布于:2015-05-13 06:31
前一个由巴布亚新几内亚命名的是07-08的Guba吗?
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7楼#
发布于:2015-05-13 20:40
IDQ10810
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Three Day Outlook for Coral Sea
Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Wednesday 13 May 2015
for the period until midnight EST Saturday 16 May 2015.

Existing Cyclones in the  Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

A tropical low has developed near the Solomon Islands at approximately latitude
5.0 south, longitude 160.0 east. The low is expected to move slowly westward
during the next few days and may develop further.
The system will remain very far offshore during the forecast period and does not
pose a threat to the Queeensland coast.
The official tropical cyclone season runs from 1 November to 30 April. This out
of season outlook is being issued due to the heightened risk of tropical cyclone
development.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
                                   Thursday: Moderate
                                   Friday: Moderate
                                   Saturday: Moderate

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Low:          5% to 20%
Moderate:     20 to 50%                    High:         Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.
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8楼#
发布于:2015-05-14 18:21
Tropical Cyclone Three Day Outlook for Coral Sea
Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Thursday 14 May 2015
for the period until midnight EST Sunday 17 May 2015.

Potential Cyclones:  

A tropical low situated to the west of the Solomon Islands is expected to move
westwards into the Papua New Guinea area of responsibility today and should
develop further over the next couple of days.
The system will remain very far offshore during the forecast period and does not
pose a threat to the Queensland coast.
The official tropical cyclone season runs from 1 November to 30 April. This out
of season outlook is being issued due to the heightened risk of tropical cyclone
development.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
                                   Friday: Very low
                                   Saturday: Very low
                                   Sunday: Low

图片:20150514.0832.mtsat-2.x.ir1km_bw.99PINVEST.15kts-1010mb-98S-1592E.100pc.jpg

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发布于:2015-05-15 16:52
IDQ10810
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Three Day Outlook for Coral Sea
Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Friday 15 May 2015
for the period until midnight EST Monday 18 May 2015.

Existing Cyclones in the  Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

A tropical low situated to the west of the Solomon Islands is no longer expected
to develop in the Eastern Region area of responsibility.
This will be the final Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the 2014/15 season. The next
Tropical Cyclone Outlook will be issued on November 1 2015.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
                                   Saturday: Very low
                                   Sunday: Very low
                                   Monday: Very low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Low:          5% to 20%
Moderate:     20 to 50%                    High:         Over 50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.
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