1121578214A
论坛版主-副热带高压
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[EP]中太平洋热带风暴“埃拉”(04E.Ela) - 东太编号,中太名字

楼主#
更多 发布于:2015-07-03 20:31
96E INVEST 150703 1200   8.0N  112.0W EPAC   15   NA
An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located
about 1200 miles south-southwest of Cabo San Lucas Mexico is
associated with a tropical wave.  Upper-level conditions are
forecast to become conducive for development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form early next week while it moves to the
west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

图片:two_pac_2d2.png

[iam最小值于2015-07-11 19:57编辑了帖子]
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禾愛糖
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1楼#
发布于:2015-07-03 20:41
話說EC今日預報準備入西太的貨,如沒意外應該是96E了
從前的我打倒今天的我。

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拉姆爱推销
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2楼#
发布于:2015-07-04 07:35
2. A large area of showers and thunderstorms centered about 1300 miles
south-southwest of Cabo San Lucas Mexico is associated with a
tropical wave.  Upper-level conditions are conducive for
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early
next week while the system moves to the west-northwest at 10 to 15
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent
 

图片:two_pac_2d0.png

图片:Wind3285032and32mslp_North32America_240.gif

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1121578214A
论坛版主-副热带高压
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3楼#
发布于:2015-07-04 14:06

2. A broad area of low pressure is producing extensive cloudiness and
scattered showers more than 1300 miles southwest of Cabo San Lucas
Mexico.  Environmental conditions are expected to gradually become
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by early next week while the system moves west-northwestward
at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent


图片:11.png

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iam最小值
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4楼#
发布于:2015-07-05 00:18

图片:two_pac_2d2.png


 
2. A broad area of low pressure about 1400 miles southwest of Cabo San
Lucas Mexico is producing extensive cloudiness and showers.
Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development, and
a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while the
system moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
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拉姆爱推销
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5楼#
发布于:2015-07-05 07:59
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure centered about 1350 miles southwest of Cabo San
Lucas Mexico continue to show signs of organization. Environmental
conditions are conducive for gradual development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form early next week while the system moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

图片:two_pac_2d0.png

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听着闹铃睡觉
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6楼#
发布于:2015-07-05 17:26
或许会严重影响夏威夷
命运总是搞笑的,无处不在作弄着人。你脏兮兮,它笑嘻嘻。但是它让我遇见你。
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feidele
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7楼#
发布于:2015-07-05 19:04

图片:TaXSNHU.png

[iam最小值于2015-07-06 06:24编辑了帖子]
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8楼#
发布于:2015-07-06 02:09
A large area of showers and thunderstorms centered about 1550 miles
southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Sur is associated
with an elongated area of low pressure. While the low is not
currently well defined, environmental conditions appear to be
conducive for gradual development. A tropical depression is
still expected to form by mid-week while the system moves west-
northwestward about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

图片:979ee604354a6a8f9a7fb7e8759ae0cd.jpg

[拉姆爱推销于2015-07-06 02:13编辑了帖子]
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刚打酱油回来
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9楼#
发布于:2015-07-06 16:23
终于TCFA了

图片:ep9615.gif


WTPN21 PHNC 060900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.8N 128.8W TO 14.1N 137.1W
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 060600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 10.3N 129.5W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.7N
127.9W, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 129.5W, APPROXIMATELY 1500 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF HILO. ANIMATED MSI DEPICTS IMPROVING CONVECTIVE
BANDING, ESPECIALLY ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN ELONGATED LLCC. A
060540Z ASCAT IMAGE SHOWS AN ELONGATED LLCC WITH MOSTLY 20 KNOTS OF
WIND. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND LOW
VWS 10 TO 20 KNOTS OF VWS. MODEL DEVELOPMENT FOR THIS SYSTEM IS
GOOD, WITH A HIGH CHANCE OF THIS AREA BECOMING A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED STRUCTURE AND FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
070900Z.//
NNNN
[拉姆爱推销于2015-07-06 20:27编辑了帖子]
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