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[EP]东太平洋93E - 19.1N 136.0W - NHC:50%

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更多 发布于:2015-08-07 01:33
93E INVEST 150806 1800  10.0N  122.8W EPAC   15   NA

图片:two_pac_2d1.png


1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located more than 1000 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are
associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and
this system could become a tropical depression by early next week
while it moves generally northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent
[新细明体于2015-08-14 15:09编辑了帖子]
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1楼#
发布于:2015-08-07 14:09

图片:two_pac_2d1.png


ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT THU AUG 6 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Hilda, located about 1800 miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. A broad area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual
development through early next week while this system moves
northwestward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

Forecaster Berg
【年年岁岁台风相似,岁岁年年追风不同】
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2楼#
发布于:2015-08-08 08:34

图片:two_pac_2d1.png


ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI AUG 7 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Hurricane Hilda, located well to the east-southeast
of the Hawaiian Islands.

1. A broad trough of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.  Although
some gradual development is possible through early next week while
it moves generally northwestward, the system could move over cooler
waters before developing into a tropical cyclone.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

Forecaster Pasch
【年年岁岁台风相似,岁岁年年追风不同】
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3楼#
发布于:2015-08-08 22:15

图片:two_pac_2d1.png


ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT AUG 8 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A broad trough of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.  While some
development of this system is still possible, it is becoming more
likely that it will reach cooler water and encounter unfavorable
upper-level winds before becoming a tropical cyclone.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Forecaster Beven
【年年岁岁台风相似,岁岁年年追风不同】
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4楼#
发布于:2015-08-09 07:11
NHC:10%

图片:two_pac_2d1.png


ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT AUG 8 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Shower activity associated with a broad trough of low pressure
located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula has become a little better organized since
yesterday.  However, while some development of this system is still
possible during the next day or two, it is more likely that it will
reach cooler water and encounter unfavorable upper-level winds
before becoming a tropical cyclone.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Forecaster Beven
【年年岁岁台风相似,岁岁年年追风不同】
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5楼#
发布于:2015-08-10 09:39
NHC:10%
 Satellite images indicate that the broad area of low pressure
located about 1100 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula has degraded into a trough.  Development
of this system is unlikely due to an increasingly unfavorable
environment while it moves westward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

图片:two_pac_2d1.png

[大娱乐家于2015-08-10 09:44编辑了帖子]
快乐下班路,欢乐晚高峰。
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6楼#
发布于:2015-08-12 06:50
NHC:50%

图片:two_pac_2d1.png


ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE AUG 11 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity has become better organized this
morning in association with an area of low pressure located about
1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. While environmental conditions are expected to become
increasingly unfavorable for development, this system could become a
tropical depression later today or tonight while it moves westward
at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent
【年年岁岁台风相似,岁岁年年追风不同】
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7楼#
发布于:2015-08-12 14:27
NHC:10%

图片:two_pac_2d2.png


2. Shower and thunderstorm activity has become minimal in association
with a low pressure area located about 1500 miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Development of
the low seems unlikely before environmental conditions become
unfavorable on Wednesday while the low moves westward at about 10
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

Forecaster Blake
【年年岁岁台风相似,岁岁年年追风不同】
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