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论坛版主-副热带高压
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[CP]中途岛东南热带风暴“马里亚”(05C.Malia) - 中太第六个命名风暴

楼主#
更多 发布于:2015-09-16 11:22
95C INVEST 150916 0000  11.3N  170.9W CPAC   25  1009

图片:20150916.0330.goes15.x.ir1km_bw.95CINVEST.25kts-1009mb-113N-1709W.100pc.jpg

[nasdaq于2015-09-23 19:07编辑了帖子]
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iam最小值
论坛版主-副热带高压
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1楼#
发布于:2015-09-16 12:06
 A disorganized area of low pressure located over 1000 miles southwest of Honolulu will move west slowly. Scattered thunderstorms are occurring over a broad area, but little development is anticipated over the next two days.* Formation chance through 48 hours, low, 10 percent.

图片:gtwo_gsat_lg.gif


 

图片:Wind3285032and32mslp_North32America_144.gif

图片:Wind3285032and32mslp_North32America_216.gif


 
EC之前多报有反应,目前来看编个05C的可能性不小,后期预测会进入西太,不过纬度挺高应该也是变性了。
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  • mikeliang
    金钱 +1
    其实乍一看很像Loke的局面
    2015-09-17 22:58
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kenlok
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2楼#
发布于:2015-09-16 18:25
95C會不會是之前的13E的殘餘雲團?
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  • iam最小值
    金钱 +1
    不是,位置不对,而且涡度并不是同一团
    2015-09-16 18:43
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iam最小值
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3楼#
发布于:2015-09-16 22:25
A broad area of low pressure is located about 1300 miles southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this system have increased during the night, and gradual development is possible during the next couple of days as this area of low pressure moves slowly toward the northwest.

* Formation chance through 48 hours, low, 30 percent.

图片:gtwo_gsat_lg.gif

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iam最小值
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4楼#
发布于:2015-09-17 08:58
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST WED SEP 16 2015

For the central north Pacific, between 140°W and 180.

1. A broad area of low pressure is located about 1300 miles southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii and around 400 miles southwest of Johnston island. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this system have increased over the past 24 hours, and gradual development is possible during the next couple of days as this area of low pressure moves slowly toward the northwest.

* Formation chance through 48 hours, medium, 40 percent.

图片:gtwo_gsat_lg.gif


 
EC继续支持发展,预计三天内可以达到TD的级别。
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kenlok
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5楼#
发布于:2015-09-17 20:58
已經非常接近國際換日線,看看會否以T.S以上強度進入西太?
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luhang
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6楼#
发布于:2015-09-17 22:38
1. An area of low pressure is located about 1200 miles southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii, and around 400 miles southwest of Johnston island. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this system have been developing near a low level circulation center, and gradual strengthening is possible over the next couple of days as the area moves slowly toward the north or northwest.

* Formation chance through 48 hours, medium, 50 percent.
 

图片:gtwo_gsat_lg.gif


看看能否为中太再添一丁
[iam最小值于2015-09-17 23:51编辑了帖子]
回眸过去,守望现在,眺望未来!
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Elite
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7楼#
发布于:2015-09-17 23:02
欧中支持高纬进入西太
或許又一个Loke
影響香港熱帶氣旋路徑圖:http://www.hktctrack.net/ 將軍澳日出康城首都氣象站天氣情況:http://hktctrack.net/weatherstation/LOHASPark/ 新浪微博:http://weibo.com/zodiacvirgin/
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kenlok
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8楼#
发布于:2015-09-17 23:22
Elite锛毰分兄С指呶辰胛魈
或許又一个Loke
鍥炲埌鍘熷笘
高緯入西太,JMA又會以溫帶氣旋形式處理!
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beta
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9楼#
发布于:2015-09-18 11:11
kenlok锛毟呔暼胛魈琂MA又會以溫帶氣旋形式處理!鍥炲埌鍘熷笘
看看EC的预测,这东西高纬进西太后不是JMA怎么处理的问题,而是就是个温带气旋进西太
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