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[WP]1524号热带气旋“巨爵”(24W.Koppu)机构发报专帖

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更多 发布于:2015-10-12 15:40

图片:wp912015.20151012073329.gif


WTPN21 PGTW 120800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.4N 150.2E TO 15.2N 143.5E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 120640Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 13.4N 149.9E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST AREA 91W) PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 149.8E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 149.9E,
APPROXIMATELY 260 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION
SHEARED TO THE WEST OF A DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). A 120004Z BYU HIGH RESOLUTION ASCAT IMAGE SHOWS THE
ELONGATED NATURE OF THE CIRCULATION WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT CORE WINDS
AND 20 TO 25 KNOT PERIPHERAL FLOW PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND WEST
UNDERNEATH THE DEEP CONVECTION. A REVIEW OF RECENT SCATTEROMETRY
IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE CIRCULATION IS GENERALLY STRENGTHENING AND
BECOMING MORE SYMMETRIC. UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE ALSO IMPROVING,
WITH MODERATE TO STRONG (20 TO 25 KNOTS) EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS) OFFSET BY GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW
THAT IS BEING ENHANCED BY AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH NEAR 165E. DYNAMIC
MODELS INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM WILL CONSOLIDATE QUICKLY WHILE
TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD INTO A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH
LOWER VWS. DUE TO CONTINUED CONSOLIDATION AND IMPROVING
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
130800Z.
//
NNNN
[nasdaq于2015-10-13 20:50编辑了帖子]
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论坛版主-副热带高压
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1楼#
发布于:2015-10-12 19:47
1524号热带气旋“巨爵”机构发报指引
10月12日:
JMA      18   21
JTWC   TCFA        

10月13日:
JMA      00   03   06   09   12(命名)   15   18   21                                
CMA     12   18       台风预报(21:00)                  
KMA     12   18                        
CWB    12   18            
HKO     12                        
JTWC   00Z--Prognostic Reasoning   06Z--Prognostic Reasoning                          
            12Z--Prognostic Reasoning   18Z--Prognostic Reasoning              
  
10月14日:
JMA      00   03   06   09   12   15   18   21                                
CMA     00   06   12   18              
            台风预报(06:00)   台风预报(10:00)   台风预报(18:00)              
KMA     00   06   12   18                        
CWB    00   06   12   18            
HKO     00   12                        
JTWC   00Z--Prognostic Reasoning   06Z--Prognostic Reasoning                          
            12Z--Prognostic Reasoning   18Z--Prognostic Reasoning

10月15日:
JMA      00   03   06   09   12   15   18   21                                
CMA     00   03   06   09   12   15   18   21          
            台风预报(06:00)   台风预报(10:00)   台风预报(18:00)              
KMA     00   06   12   18                        
CWB    00   06   12   18            
HKO     00   09   12   18                            
JTWC   00Z--Prognostic Reasoning   06Z--Prognostic Reasoning                          
            12Z--Prognostic Reasoning   18Z--Prognostic Reasoning

10月16日:
JMA      00   03   06   09   12   15   18   21                                
CMA     00   03   06   09   12   15   18   21          
            台风预报(06:00)   台风预报(10:00)   台风预报(18:00)              
KMA     00   06   12   18                        
CWB    00   06   12   18            
HKO     00   06   12   18   21                        
JTWC   00Z--Prognostic Reasoning   06Z--Prognostic Reasoning                          
            12Z--Prognostic Reasoning   18Z--Prognostic Reasoning

10月17日:
JMA      00   03   06   09   12   15   18   21                                
CMA     00   03   06   09   12   15   18   21          
            台风预报(06:00)   台风预报(10:00)   台风预报(18:00)              
KMA     00   06   12   18                        
CWB    00   06   12   18            
HKO     00   03   06   09   12   15   18   21                        
JTWC   00Z--Prognostic Reasoning   06Z--Prognostic Reasoning                          
            12Z--Prognostic Reasoning   18Z--Prognostic Reasoning

10月18日:
JMA      00   03   06   09   12   15   18   21                                
CMA     00   03   06   09   12   15   18   21          
            台风预报(06:00)   台风预报(10:00)   台风预报(18:00)              
KMA     00   06   12   18                        
CWB    00   06   12   18            
HKO     00   03   06   09   12   15   18   21                        
JTWC   00Z--Prognostic Reasoning   06Z--Prognostic Reasoning                          
            12Z--Prognostic Reasoning   18Z--Prognostic Reasoning

10月19日:
JMA      00   03   06   09   12   15   18(缺报)   21                                
CMA     00   03   06   09   12   15   18   21          
            台风预报(06:00)   台风蓝色预警(10:02)   台风蓝色预警(18:00)              
KMA     00   06   12   18                        
CWB    00   06   12   18            
HKO     00   03   06   09   12   15   18   21                        
JTWC   00Z--Prognostic Reasoning   06Z--Prognostic Reasoning                          
            12Z--Prognostic Reasoning   18Z--Prognostic Reasoning

10月20日:
JMA      00   03   06   09   12   15   18   21                                
CMA     00   03   06   09   12   15   18   21(降格TD)          
            台风蓝色预警(06:16)   台风蓝色预警(10:42)   台风蓝色预警(18:57)              
KMA     00   06   12   18                        
CWB    00   06   12   18            
HKO     00   03   06   09   12   15   18   21                        
JTWC   00Z--Prognostic Reasoning   06Z--Prognostic Reasoning                          
            12Z--Prognostic Reasoning   18Z--Prognostic Reasoning

10月21日:
JMA      00   03   06(降格TD)                        
CMA     00(停编报)     解除台风蓝色预警(06:18)              
KMA     00   06(降格TD)        
HKO     00   03   06   09   12(降格低压区)                        
JTWC   00Z(Final Warning)
[拉姆爱推销于2015-11-08 10:35编辑了帖子]
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发布于:2015-10-13 03:48
JMA/TD-a/10-12 18Z
熱帯低気圧
平成27年10月13日04時30分 発表

图片:a-00.png



<13日03時の実況>
大きさ -
強さ -
熱帯低気圧
存在地域 マリアナ諸島
中心位置 北緯 15度20分(15.3度)
東経 145度50分(145.8度)
進行方向、速さ 西 15km/h(8kt)
中心気圧 1002hPa
中心付近の最大風速 15m/s(30kt)
最大瞬間風速 23m/s(45kt)

<14日03時の予報>
強さ -
存在地域 マリアナ諸島
予報円の中心 北緯 15度35分(15.6度)
東経 141度05分(141.1度)
進行方向、速さ 西 20km/h(11kt)
中心気圧 998hPa
中心付近の最大風速 18m/s(35kt)
最大瞬間風速 25m/s(50kt)
予報円の半径 220km(120NM)
[新细明体于2015-10-13 04:22编辑了帖子]
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“七子之歌·台湾” 我们是东海捧出的珍珠一串,琉球是我的群弟,我就是台湾。 我胸中还氤氲着郑氏的英魂,精忠的赤血点染了我的家传。 母亲,酷炎的夏日要晒死我了,赐我个号令,我还能背水一战。母亲!我要回来,母亲!
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拉姆爱推销
论坛版主-副热带高压
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3楼#
发布于:2015-10-13 06:35
JMA/TD-a/10-12 21Z
熱帯低気圧
平成27年10月13日07時30分 発表

图片:JMA 20151012 21UTC.png


<13日06時の実況>
大きさ        -
強さ        -
熱帯低気圧
存在地域        マリアナ諸島
中心位置        北緯 15度35分(15.6度)
東経 144度20分(144.3度)
進行方向、速さ        西 15km/h(8kt)
中心気圧        1002hPa
中心付近の最大風速        15m/s(30kt)
最大瞬間風速        23m/s(45kt)

<14日06時の予報>
強さ        -
存在地域        マリアナ諸島
予報円の中心        北緯 15度50分(15.8度)
東経 140度40分(140.7度)
進行方向、速さ        西 15km/h(9kt)
中心気圧        998hPa
中心付近の最大風速        18m/s(35kt)
最大瞬間風速        25m/s(50kt)
予報円の半径        220km(120NM)
[拉姆爱推销于2015-10-13 13:22编辑了帖子]
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你猜论坛什么时候能校准时间,什么时候能开放头像功能?
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t02436
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4楼#
发布于:2015-10-13 08:51
JMA/TD-a/10-13 00Z
熱帯低気圧
平成27年10月13日09時50分 発表

图片:JMA_TD-a_1013_00Z.png


<13日09時の実況>
大きさ -
強さ -
熱帯低気圧
存在地域 マリアナ諸島
中心位置 北緯 15度20分(15.3度)
東経 142度55分(142.9度)
進行方向、速さ 西 15km/h(8kt)
中心気圧 1002hPa
中心付近の最大風速 15m/s(30kt)
最大瞬間風速 23m/s(45kt)

<14日09時の予報>
強さ -
存在地域 フィリピンの東
予報円の中心 北緯 15度50分(15.8度)
東経 139度40分(139.7度)
進行方向、速さ 西 15km/h(8kt)
中心気圧 998hPa
中心付近の最大風速 18m/s(35kt)
最大瞬間風速 25m/s(50kt)
予報円の半径 220km(120NM)
[t02436于2015-10-13 10:26编辑了帖子]
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t02436
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5楼#
发布于:2015-10-13 09:13
JTWC/24W/#01/10-13 00Z

图片:wp2415.gif


WTPN31 PGTW 130300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120751ZOCT2015//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (TWENTYFOUR) WARNING NR 001    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   130000Z --- NEAR 15.6N 143.1E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 143.1E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   131200Z --- 16.1N 140.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   140000Z --- 15.9N 137.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   141200Z --- 15.9N 134.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   150000Z --- 16.0N 132.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   160000Z --- 16.3N 129.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   170000Z --- 16.7N 126.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   180000Z --- 17.4N 124.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
REMARKS:
130300Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 142.3E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (TWENTYFOUR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 155 NM
NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 22 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z
IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z, 131500Z, 132100Z AND 140300Z.
THIS CANCELS AND SUPRSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 120800).//
NNNN
[t02436于2015-10-13 10:27编辑了帖子]
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t02436
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6楼#
发布于:2015-10-13 09:49
JTWC/24W/#01/10-13 00Z Prognostic Reasoning
WDPN32 PGTW 130300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (TWENTYFOUR)
WARNING NR 01//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
   TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 24W (TWENTYFOUR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
155 NM NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 22
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS DEEPENED AS FORMATIVE BANDS,
ALBEIT STILL FRAGMENTED, WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO A BROAD LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS OBSCURED BY A CENTRAL DENSE
OVERCAST FEATURE. THE SAME ANIMATION INDICATES THE MAIN BULK OF THE
CONVECTION IS SHEARED WESTWARD OF THE LLCC. THE INITIAL POSITION IS
BASED ON THE MSI LOOP AND EXTRAPOLATED FROM SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM
GUAM AND SAIPAN WITH LOW CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 25
KNOTS IS BASED ON AN OVERALL ASSESSMENT OF DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM
PGTW, KNES, AND RJTD. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS
SOUTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE 20-KNOT VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS). HOWEVER, THE VWS IS EASILY OFFSET BY A NEAR-RADIAL
OUTFLOW. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
   A. THIS IS THE INITIAL PROGNOSTIC REASONING BULLETIN AND SETS THE
FORECAST PHILOSOPHY.
   B. TD 24W WILL TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE STR
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS IT TRAVERSES THE WARM PHILIPPINE
SEA (WITH SSTS 29-31 CELSIUS), THE VWS IS EXPECTED TO RELAX. THIS
COUPLED WITH A CONTINUED VIGOROUS OUTFLOW WILL PROMOTE STEADY
INTENSIFICATION, REACHING TYPHOON STRENGTH BY TAU 72.
   C. BEYOND TAU 72, THE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH NORTHERN LUZON,
PHILIPPINES. ENHANCED OUTFLOW, IN ADDITION TO THE AFOREMENTIONED
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS, WILL PROMOTE A RAPID INTENSIFICATION - REACHING
115 KNOTS, POSSIBLY STRONGER, BY END OF FORECAST. THE AVAILABLE
DYNAMIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH SOME BIFURCATION TOWARDS
THE END OF THE FORECAST. HOWEVER, GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE
INITIAL POSITION AND STORM MOTION, THERE IS OVERALL LOW CONFIDENCE TO
THE INITIAL JTWC FORECAST TRACK.//
NNNN
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t02436
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7楼#
发布于:2015-10-13 11:42
JMA/TD-a/10-13 03Z
熱帯低気圧
平成27年10月13日12時45分 発表

图片:JMA_TD-a_1013_03Z.png


<13日12時の実況>
大きさ        -
強さ        -
熱帯低気圧
存在地域        マリアナ諸島
中心位置        北緯 16度05分(16.1度)
東経 141度40分(141.7度)
進行方向、速さ        西 15km/h(8kt)
中心気圧        1002hPa
中心付近の最大風速        15m/s(30kt)
最大瞬間風速        23m/s(45kt)

<14日12時の予報>
強さ        -
存在地域        フィリピンの東
予報円の中心        北緯 16度10分(16.2度)
東経 136度05分(136.1度)
進行方向、速さ        西 25km/h(13kt)
中心気圧        996hPa
中心付近の最大風速        18m/s(35kt)
最大瞬間風速        25m/s(50kt)
予報円の半径        220km(120NM)
[t02436于2015-10-13 11:52编辑了帖子]
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8楼#
发布于:2015-10-13 14:53
JMA/TD-a/10-13 06Z
熱帯低気圧
平成27年10月13日15時50分 発表

图片:JMA_TD-a_1013_06Z.png


<13日15時の実況>
大きさ -
強さ -
熱帯低気圧
存在地域 マリアナ諸島
中心位置 北緯 16度00分(16.0度)
東経 140度05分(140.1度)
進行方向、速さ 西 25km/h(13kt)
中心気圧 1002hPa
中心付近の最大風速 15m/s(30kt)
最大瞬間風速 23m/s(45kt)

<14日03時の予報>
強さ -
存在地域 フィリピンの東
予報円の中心 北緯 16度00分(16.0度)
東経 138度25分(138.4度)
進行方向、速さ 西 15km/h(8kt)
中心気圧 1000hPa
中心付近の最大風速 18m/s(35kt)
最大瞬間風速 25m/s(50kt)
予報円の半径 150km(80NM)

<14日15時の予報>
強さ -
存在地域 フィリピンの東
予報円の中心 北緯 15度55分(15.9度)
東経 135度20分(135.3度)
進行方向、速さ 西 30km/h(15kt)
中心気圧 996hPa
中心付近の最大風速 20m/s(40kt)
最大瞬間風速 30m/s(60kt)
予報円の半径 220km(120NM)
[t02436于2015-10-13 15:24编辑了帖子]
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发布于:2015-10-13 16:01
JTWC/24W/#02/10-13 06Z

图片:WP242015.gif


WTPN31 PGTW 130900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (TWENTYFOUR) WARNING NR 002    
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   130600Z --- NEAR 15.7N 140.1E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 29 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N 140.1E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   131800Z --- 15.8N 136.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   140600Z --- 15.8N 133.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   141800Z --- 15.8N 131.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   150600Z --- 16.0N 129.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   160600Z --- 16.5N 126.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   170600Z --- 17.0N 123.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   180600Z --- 17.4N 122.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
REMARKS:
130900Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 139.2E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (TWENTYFOUR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 303
NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
29 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 130600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z, 132100Z, 140300Z
AND 140900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25W (TWENTYFIVE) WARNINGS
(WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN
[t02436于2015-10-13 23:19编辑了帖子]
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