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[SH(15-16)]爪哇岛以南95S - 10.4S 109.0E

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更多 发布于:2016-03-05 04:03
95S INVEST 160304 1800  10.6S  109.7E SHEM   15   NA

图片:20160304.1900.meteo-7.ir.95S.INVEST.15kts.1007mb.10.6S.109.7E.100pc.jpg


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[tcfa_gw于2016-03-05 17:44编辑了帖子]
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发布于:2016-03-05 04:26
IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Updated Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 1:05 pm WST on Friday 4 March 2016
for the period until midnight WST Monday 7 March 2016.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:

Nil

Potential Cyclones:  

A weak tropical low may form over the weekend near 10S, between 105E and 108E.
There is a small chance of the low developing into a tropical cyclone during
Monday, in the vicinity of Christmas Island. The low is then expected to move
westwards during the week.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Saturday: Very Low
Sunday: Very Low
Monday: Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Low:          5% to 20%
Moderate:     20 to 50%                    High:         Over 50%
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2楼#
发布于:2016-03-06 22:41
IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Sunday 6 March 2016
for the period until midnight WST Wednesday 9 March 2016.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:

Nil

Potential Cyclones:  

A trough lies across northwestern parts of the region. A tropical low may form
near 10S, between 105E and 110E on Sunday or Monday. If a low does form it is
expected to move westwards during the week but is unlikely to develop into a
tropical cyclone.

Likelihood of a this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
                                   Monday: Very Low
                                   Tuesday: Very Low
                                   Wednesday: Very Low
There are no other significant tropical lows in the Western Region at present
and none are expected to develop in the next three days.

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Low:          5% to 20%
Moderate:     20 to 50%                    High:         Over 50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.
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