[SH(15-16)]卡奔塔利亚湾97P - 15.0S 139.0E
楼主#更多 发布于：2016-03-10 23:02
97P INVEST 160310 1200 15.0S 139.0E SHEM 15 NA
Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria
Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Friday 11 March 2016
for the period until midnight CST Monday 14 March 2016.
Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region:
There are no significant tropical lows in the region and none are expected to develop during the next three days.
Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:
In the longer term, a monsoon trough is expected to develop and strengthen across the Top End and Gulf of Carpentaria. A low is expected to form over the southwest Gulf of Carpentaria early next week, then move slowly to the east. This low has an increasing chance of development during the week.
NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:less than 5%Low:5% to 20%
Moderate:20 to 50%High:Over 50%