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[命名气旋]1618号热带气旋“暹芭”转化温带气旋NP23(ETC01)-1005 - JMA:EW - OPC上望943hPa 70kt

楼主#
更多 发布于:2016-10-06 18:39

WTPQ21 RJTD 051200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  DEVELOPED LOW FORMER STS 1618 CHABA (1618)
ANALYSIS
PSTN  051200UTC 38N 137E
MOVE  ENE 50KT
PRES  986HPA
MXWD  055KT
30KT  240NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST =
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA
AT 42N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 42N 153E TO 41N 157E 38N 159E.
COLD FRONT FROM 42N 154E TO 38N 154E 34N 149E 34N 145E 32N 142E 32N
139E.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 65 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 45N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 48N 174E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 130
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 50N 148E
MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS.

图片:16100615.png



图片:欢乐晚高峰.png

[tcfa_gw于2016-10-07 10:54编辑了帖子]
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格物致知
论坛版主-副热带高压
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1楼#
发布于:2016-10-06 21:38
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CHABA W OF AREA NEAR 42N154E 988 MB
MOVING NE 40 KT AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING. OVER FORECAST WATERS
WITHIN 420 NM E AND SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 12
FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CHABA 44N160E 982 MB
WITHIN 300 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CHABA 49N176E 956 MB.
WITHIN 180 NM SW AND S QUADRANTS WINDS 55 TO 70 KT. SEAS 15 TO
30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM N
QUADRANT WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT. ALSO WITHIN 420 NM
SW...240 NM NW...300 NM NE...AND 300 NM SE QUADRANTS AND WITHIN
300 NM SE OF A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 45N177E TO 39N172E TO
33N161E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CHABA 56N177W 953 MB.
WITHIN 240 NM E QUADRANT WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 30 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM NE...840 NM E...480 NM S AND W...AND 360
NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 22 FT.


图片:P_48hrsfc.gif

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格物致知
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2楼#
发布于:2016-10-06 21:59

图片:360截图20161006220346678.jpg


jma +48h
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tcfa_gw
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3楼#
发布于:2016-10-06 23:55
12Z

WWJP25 RJTD 061200
WARNING AND SUMMARY 061200.
WARNING VALID 071200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA
AT 43N 159E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 40 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 43N 159E TO 42N 161E 40N 163E 38N 166E.
COLD FRONT FROM 43N 159E TO 39N 158E 35N 154E 33N 148E 32N 143E 30N
138E.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 65 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 46N 169E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 50N 179E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 130
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 51N 151E
MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS.
GALE WARNING.
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY
43N 172E 53N 168E 52N 180E 39N 180E 43N 172E.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA
AT 18.0N 165.3E SEA AROUND OF WAKE MOVING WEST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 18.7N 162.8E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 19.4N 160.3E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 146E 44N 146E
51N 157E 48N 160E 50N 170E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 41N 180E 40N
155E 40N 146E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 996 HPA AT 56N 148E SOUTH SLOWLY.
LOW 974 HPA AT 58N 176E NNW 20 KT.
LOW 976 HPA AT 54N 179W NNE 15 KT.
HIGH 1026 HPA AT 42N 124E ESE 20 KT.
HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1018 HPA AT 32N 174E EAST 20 KT.
REMARKS.
TROPICAL STORM 1619 AERE (1619) 994 HPA AT 20.5N 117.5E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=
ただひとつの“今”を歌いつづける。
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tcfa_gw
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4楼#
发布于:2016-10-07 09:44
EW

WWJP26 RJTD 062100
EMERGENCY WARNING 062100.
WARNING VALID 072100.
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA
AT 45N 166E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 45N 166E TO 44N 169E 41N 172E 39N 174E.
COLD FRONT FROM 45N 166E TO 42N 168E 36N 164E 32N 157E.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 65 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070900UTC AT 49N 177E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 072100UTC AT 53N 177W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 130
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 986 HPA AT 51N 154E
MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS.
REMARKS.
TROPICAL STORM 1619 AERE (1619) 992 HPA AT 20.5N 116.6E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=
ただひとつの“今”を歌いつづける。
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newshidai2004
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发布于:2016-10-07 11:01
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA
AT 46N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 46N 170E TO 42N 175E 39N 177E.
COLD FRONT FROM 46N 170E TO 43N 172E 39N 169E 35N 163E 32N 155E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 155E TO 31N 148E 30N 142E 30N 138E 29N
131E.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 65 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW WEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 50N 179E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 54N 177W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 130
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 51N 154E
MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS.
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发布于:2016-10-07 11:03
以温气的形式重新加强么?今年日本真刺激!
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发布于:2016-10-07 13:01
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CHABA 46N170E 975 MB MOVING NE 35 KT AND
RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING. WITHIN 300 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 40 TO 55
KT. SEAS 14 TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 840
NM SW...660 NM S...480 NM E...240 NM N AND W QUADRANTS WINDS 25
TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CHABA 48N176E 962 MB.
WITHIN 240 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 17 TO 27 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CHABA 54N177W 951 MB.
WITHIN 180 NM E AND 240 NM S WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 21 TO 37
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM E QUADRANT
WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 TO 30 FT. ALSO WITHIN 660 NM NE AND
420 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 22 FT.
OTHERWISE WITHIN 480 NM S...900 NM W...720 NM N...AND 360 NM E
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CHABA JUST NW OF AREA
59N178E 962 MB. EXCEPT WHERE DESCRIBED BELOW WITH NEW LOW
56N163W WITHIN 420 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 780 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS
25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT...HIGHEST NW QUADRANT.

图片:360截图20161007131203937.png

[newshidai2004于2016-10-07 13:13编辑了帖子]
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tcfa_gw
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发布于:2016-10-07 16:05
WWJP26 RJTD 070300
EMERGENCY WARNING 070300.
WARNING VALID 080300.
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 964 HPA
AT 47N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 173E TO 45N 175E 44N 175E.
WARM FRONT FROM 44N 175E TO 41N 178E 38N 179E.
COLD FRONT FROM 44N 175E TO 41N 174E 38N 170E 34N 163E 31N 158E 31N
153E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 153E TO 31N 147E 30N 142E 30N 138E 30N 134E
29N 132E.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 65 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW WEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071500UTC AT 51N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080300UTC AT 55N 177W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 130
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 982 HPA AT 51N 155E
MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS.
REMARKS.
TROPICAL STORM 1619 AERE (1619) 990 HPA AT 20.4N 116.1E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=
ただひとつの“今”を歌いつづける。
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tcfa_gw
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发布于:2016-10-07 17:09

STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 960 HPA
AT 48N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 175E TO 47N 177E 46N 177E.
WARM FRONT FROM 46N 177E TO 43N 180E 39N 179W.
COLD FRONT FROM 46N 177E TO 41N 175E 34N 165E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 165E TO 33N 162E 30N 158E 29N 153E 31N 145E
30N 137E.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 65 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW WEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 52N 178W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 55N 177W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 130
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 51N 158E
MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS.

图片:16100715.png

ただひとつの“今”を歌いつづける。
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