iam最小值
论坛版主-副热带高压
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[IO]印度东部近岸低压BOB 04 - 19.0N 86.0E

楼主#
更多 发布于:2017-07-18 13:10
BULLETIN NO.: 01 (BOB 04/2017)
TIME OF ISSUE: 0930 HOURS IST DATED: 18.07.2017

Sub: Depression over northwest & adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal and coastal areas of
Odisha & north Andhra Pradesh
Latest observations & satellite imagery indicate that a depression formed over northwest &
adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal and coastal areas of Odisha and lay centred at 0530 hrs IST of
today, the 18th July, 2017 near latitude 19.0 N and longitude 86.0 E, about 120 km east-southeast of
Gopalpur and 80 km south-southeast of Puri. The system is very likely to move west-northwestwards
and cross Odisha coast between Gopalpur and Puri by tonight, the 18th July 2017.

图片:3Dasiasec_ir1.jpg

[iam最小值于2017-07-18 13:12编辑了帖子]
2条评分, 金钱 +3 威望 +3
  • 9914dan
    威望 3
    优秀帖
    2017-07-18 13:18
  • 9914dan
    金钱 3
    优秀帖
    2017-07-18 13:18
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iam最小值
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
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1楼#
发布于:2017-07-18 13:25
实在找不到什么高清的图片,用IMD的可见光将就一下。系统离岸很近,IMD预计今天就会登陆。

图片:3Dasiasec_vis.jpg



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 18.07.2017
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND
ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 72 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 18.07.2017 BASED ON
0300 UTC OF 18.07.2017.

BAY OF BENGAL & ANDAMAN SEA:
YESTERDAY’S WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER NORTHWEST & ADJOINING
WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND COASTAL AREAS OF ODISHA & NORTH ANDHRA
PRADESH CONCENTRATED INTO A DEPRESSION AT 0000 UTC OF TODAY, THE 18TH JULY AND
LAY CENTERED OVER NORTHWEST & ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND
COASTAL AREAS OF ODISHA NEAR LATITUDE 19.0? N AND LONGITUDE 86.0 ?E, ABOUT 120 KM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GOPALPUR (43049) AND 80 KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PURI (43053). THE
SYSTEM IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS AND CROSS ODISHA COAST
BETWEEN GOPALPUR AND PURI BY TONIGHT, THE 18TH JULY 2017.
ACCORDING TO SATELLITE IMAGERIES, THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM IS C.I.1.5. THE
ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 HPA. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25
KNOTS GUSTING 35 KNOTS. SEA CONDITION IS ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH AROUND SYSTEM
CENTRE. ASSOCIATED BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO
INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LIE OVER BAY OF BENGAL BETWEEN LATITUDE
16.0N TO 19.0N & WEST OF LONGITUDE 89.0E AND SOUTH COASTAL ODISHA, NORTH COASTAL
ANDHRA PRADESH AND ADJOINING AREAS.
THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST) IS AROUND 28-29?C. THE OCEAN HEAT CONTENT IS <
50 KJ/CM2 NEAR ODISHA COAST. THE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS ABOUT 20X10-5 SECOND-1
TO THE SOUTHWEST OF SYSTEM CENTRE, THE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS AROUND 10X
10-5 SECOND-1 TO THE SOUTHWEST OF SYSTEM CENTRE AND THE LOW LEVEL RELATIVE
VORTICITY IS AROUND 100X10-6 SECOND-1
. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF HORIZONTAL WIND
IS MODERATE (15 KNOTS) AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE AND IS INCREASING TOWARDS
NORTHWEST. THE MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION INDEX LIES IN PHASE 4 WITH AMPLITUDE <1.
THE UPPER TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE RUNS ALONG 30 N. ALL THE ABOVE FAVOURABLE
ENVIRONMENTAL PARAMETERS LED TO INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM INTO DEPRESSION.



图片:ecmwf_mslp_uv850_ind_fh-48-72.gif



EC很早之前就报出孟湾系统,不过由于离岸较近强度不是很强。动图不动点击新页打开,注意前几张是EC前48小时的逐报初始场,预报用的是0717 12Z内容。
[iam最小值于2017-07-18 13:39编辑了帖子]
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meow
世纪风王
世纪风王
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2楼#
发布于:2017-07-18 14:09
IMD有高清云图,可是上传到论坛会卡在100%。

http://satellite.imd.gov.in/insat.htm
1条评分, 威望 +1
  • iam最小值
    威望 +1
    太大了,好像超过5M就不行了,只能截图
    2017-07-18 14:11
Meow, a sex-starved pussy, gets aroused when everyone at the pool stares at her white and soaked up swimsuit turning see-through and exposing her tempting body.
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superstorm
强热带风暴
强热带风暴
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3楼#
发布于:2017-07-18 17:59
季风槽发展,强度不强
以后去海南工作,那里才有大台风可以看
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刚打酱油回来
超强台风
超强台风
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4楼#
发布于:2017-07-19 10:14
上传TEST
jpg上传失败
jpg上传失败
png上传失败

尝试上传一张4.03MB的可见光失败,卡在100%,转换成png檔也是一样
大概是这个长宽大小不行吧……

长宽减半,缩成原图1/4,上传成功

图片:3DIMG_18JUL2017_0000_NEQ_VIS_HR.jpg

人民的名义
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懒得注册1
强台风
强台风
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5楼#
发布于:2017-07-19 10:22
这个是否是四号台风残留云系重新发展起来的?
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iam最小值
论坛版主-副热带高压
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6楼#
发布于:2017-07-19 10:26
懒得注册1锛氄飧鍪欠袷撬暮盘ǚ绮辛粼葡抵匦路⒄蛊鹄吹模鍥炲埌鍘熷笘
与塔拉斯无关


IMD表示系统已经于北京时间昨天23时登陆


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND
ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 72 HOURS ISSUED AT 2000 UTC OF 18.07.2017 BASED ON
1800 UTC OF 18.07.2017.

BAY OF BENGAL & ANDAMAN SEA:
THE DEPRESSION OVER NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL AND ADJOINING AREAS OF
COASTAL ODISHA & NORTH ANDHRA PRADESH MOVED NEARLY NORTHWESTWARDS AND
CROSSED SOUTH ODISHA COAST CLOSE TO SOUTH OF PURI AROUND 2030 HOURS IST OF
YESTERDAY, THE 18TH JULY 2017. IT LAY CENTRED AT 2330 HRS IST OF YESTERDAY, THE
18TH JULY, 2017 NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 N AND LONGITUDE 85.3 E OVER COASTAL ODISHA &
NEIGHBOURHOOD, ABOUT 50 KM WEST OF PURI (43053) AND 70 KM SOUTHWEST OF
BHUBANESWAR (42971). THE SYSTEM IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS
AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY.
ACCORDING TO SATELLITE IMAGERIES, THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994
HPA. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KNOTS GUSTING 35 KNOTS. ASSOCIATED
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LIE OVER SOUTH ODISHA.
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