933954
强热带风暴
强热带风暴
  • 注册日期2013-12-07
  • 最后登录2018-01-06
  • 粉丝33
  • 关注22
  • 发帖数600
  • 来自
阅读:1129回复:4

2017-2018年度斐济责任区编号系统讨论帖

楼主#
更多 发布于:2017-10-01 13:47
说明: 1、本帖专门用于收集和讨论斐济气象部门(FMS)对其责任区内编号的扰动,当NRL编号或者FMS发“扰动报告”(Disturbance Advisory)时可新开主题帖。
2、本帖每年度一帖,开帖时间一般为10月初,如果FMS编扰动早于此时间则以编号时间为开帖时间(FMS官方认定的风季时间为11月1日至次年4月30日)。任何会员均可开帖,首楼附上本说明即可,注意:本帖开帖不加分
3、帖子时效为当年开帖~次年5月31日,到期后如无特殊情况则移入档案版。
4、FMS新编扰动后,在本帖下发帖说明,取最早的会员给予威望3、金钱3的奖励。建议会员发帖后附上合适的云图并进行适当的说明或标注,方便其他会员更直观地浏览
5、一些有用的网址及信息:
FMS官网:http://www.met.gov.fj/
FMS发编号扰动的页面:http://www.met.gov.fj/current_warnings.php(网址已更换,新网址为http://www.met.gov.fj/current_warnings_b.php)即官网左边有个Current Warnings点进去。此页面最右边一栏最下面的Tropical Disturbance Summary就能看到当前编号的扰动。
FMS热带云团3天展望:http://www.met.gov.fj/tc_outlook.pdf
一个南半球云图及分析图汇集的网址,可用来发编号时的云图(自己定位):
http://www.cyclonextreme.com/cyclonecaledonie.htm
NOAA的南半球云图:http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/
FMS责任区范围:

图片:fj.png


自动更新云图:
澳大利亚附近


南太平洋(偶尔有错误陆地边界乱入)
[933954于2017-11-19 10:40编辑了帖子]
喜欢1 评分0

最新喜欢:

ray790601ray790...
933954
强热带风暴
强热带风暴
  • 注册日期2013-12-07
  • 最后登录2018-01-06
  • 粉丝33
  • 关注22
  • 发帖数600
  • 来自
1楼#
发布于:2017-11-02 13:07
今天突然看见有OUTLOOK中有发展评级图,不知道以前有没有
TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 - DAY OUTLOOK
Equator to 25S and 160E to 120W
Issue Time: 0400 UTC Thursday 02
nd November 2017
Next Issue: 0400 UTC Friday 03
rd November 2017
Issued By: Tropical Cyclone Centre, RSMC, Nadi
Existing Tropical Cyclones:
Nil.
Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the region in each of the next three days, TILL 05
th
November, 2017:
Friday 03
rd November
The probability of tropical cyclone formation in the area is Very Low.

图片:360截图20171102130608702.jpg

[933954于2017-11-02 13:13编辑了帖子]
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
9914dan
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
  • 注册日期2009-06-25
  • 最后登录2018-01-20
  • 粉丝111
  • 关注52
  • 发帖数2213
  • 来自
2楼#
发布于:2017-12-20 23:47
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 200839 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD04F [1004HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 04.0S 167.0E
AT 200600UTC. TD04F SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON GOES-15
IR/EIR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.

CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTH OF SUPPOSED LLCC. ORGANISATION
REMAINS POOR. THE SYSTEM LIES SOUTH OF AN UPPER RIDGE IN A MODERATE
TO HIGH SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. CYCLONIC CIRCULATIONS EXTENDS UPTO
850HPA. SST AROUD 29 DEGREES CELCIUS.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP  THE SYSTEM  AND SLOWLY MOVE IT
SOUTHEASTWARDS WITH SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW.

*********************************************************************
************
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.
4条评分, 金钱 +3 威望 +3
回复(1) 喜欢(0)     评分(4)
meow
世纪风王
世纪风王
  • 注册日期2011-09-08
  • 最后登录2018-01-20
  • 粉丝412
  • 关注38
  • 发帖数17042
  • 来自
3楼#
发布于:2017-12-21 01:04
9914dan锛歍ropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 200839 UTC.

TROPICAL DI...
鍥炲埌鍘熷笘
FMS的编号越来越浮滥了……
Meow, a sex-starved pussy, gets aroused when everyone at the pool stares at her white and soaked up swimsuit turning see-through and exposing her tempting body.
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
iam最小值
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
  • 注册日期2011-07-16
  • 最后登录2018-01-20
  • 粉丝230
  • 关注25
  • 发帖数12888
  • 来自
4楼#
发布于:2017-12-21 22:15
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD04F [1002HPA] WAS RE-ANALYSED NEAR 10.8S
171.8E AT 220900UTC. TD04F SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON
HIMAWARI-8 IR/EIR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.

CONVECTION PERSISTENT AND DISPLACED TO THE NORTH OF SUPPOSED LLCC.
ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR. THE SYSTEM LIES JUST SOUTH OF AN UPPER
RIDGE IN A MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. CYCLONIC CIRCULATIONS
EXTENDS UPTO 700HPA. SST AROUD 29 DEGREES CELCIUS.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP  THE SYSTEM  AND SLOWLY MOVE IT
SOUTHEASTWARDS WITH SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW.

图片:SHGMSIR.JPG

回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
游客

返回顶部