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强热带风暴
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[AL]亚速尔群岛以南三级飓风“欧菲莉亚”(17L.Ophelia) - 成功温转热,北大连产第十个飓风、历来最东MH,转温后吹袭不列颠群岛 - NHC:100KT

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更多 发布于:2017-10-07 18:42
AL, 91, 2017100706,   , BEST,   0, 327N,  385W,  30, 1010, LO,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1017,  170, 120,   0,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,     INVEST, M,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 036, SPAWNINVEST, al752017 to al912017,

图片:20171007.1015.goes-13.ir.91L.INVEST.30kts.1010mb.32.7N.38.5W.100pc.jpg

[颱風巨爵于2017-10-16 20:42编辑了帖子]
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追风的小孩
热带风暴
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1楼#
发布于:2017-10-07 18:57
40%
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Oct 7 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly
upgraded Hurricane Nate, located over the southern Gulf of Mexico.

1. A non-tropical area of low pressure is located about 650 miles
southwest of the Azores.  Environmental conditions are expected to
be conducive for the development of a tropical or subtropical
cyclone during the next couple of days while the low drifts toward
the west or southwest.  Thereafter the atmosphere is expected
to become hostile for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Landsea

图片:two_atl_2d1[1].png

图片:two_atl_5d1[1].png

[颱風巨爵于2017-10-07 21:16编辑了帖子]
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强热带风暴
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2楼#
发布于:2017-10-07 18:59

图片:QQ截图20171007190242.png


为什么从结构上看91L更像温带气旋。。
[wwwawa于2017-10-07 19:01编辑了帖子]
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3楼#
发布于:2017-10-07 19:25
纬度较高,纬度超过了北纬30度
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发布于:2017-10-07 19:28
明显的LLCC

图片:2017AL91_1KMSRVIS_201710071045[1].gif

图片:2017AL91_4KMIRIMG_201710071045[1].gif

图片:2017AL91_4KMSRBDC_201710071045[1].jpg

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5楼#
发布于:2017-10-07 19:33
70%

图片:two_atl_2d1[1].png

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6楼#
发布于:2017-10-07 19:50
91L的LLCC裸露这么严重NHC居然70%?
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meow
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7楼#
发布于:2017-10-07 19:57
wwwawa锛91L的LLCC裸露这么严重NHC居然70%?鍥炲埌鍘熷笘
这是正在转暖的温带气旋。
Meow, a sex-starved pussy, gets aroused when everyone at the pool stares at her white and soaked up swimsuit turning see-through and exposing her tempting body.
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8楼#
发布于:2017-10-08 09:22
91L快散架了 都成这样了NHC还70%?

图片:QQ截图20171007190242.png

图片:2017AL91_4KMIRIMG_201710080045.gif

图片:2017AL91_4KMSRBDC_201710080045.jpg


ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Oct 7 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Nate, located near the mouth of the Mississippi River.

1. A stationary low pressure system located about 700 miles southwest
of the Azores is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the
development of a tropical or subtropical cyclone for the next day or
so while the system drifts toward the southwest or south.  After
that time, strong upper-level winds are expected to limit further
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky
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9楼#
发布于:2017-10-08 11:14

AL, 91, 2017100800,   , BEST,   0, 313N,  395W,  30, 1010, TD

虽然是热带低压,但并没有升格17L
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