92L INVEST 171013 0600 17.4N 55.3W ATL 25 1007
图片:20171013.1045.goes13.x.vis1km.92LINVEST.15kts-NAmb-174N-553W.100pc.jpg ![]() 图片:two_atl_2d1.png ![]() 图片:two_atl_5d1.png ![]() 1. Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday in association with a broad area of low pressure located about 350 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands. Upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive for significant development during the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph and passes north of the Leeward Islands and the Virgin Islands. However, environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for some development early next week while the system begins to move northward over the west-central Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. [颱風巨爵于2017-10-18 05:55编辑了帖子]
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1楼#
发布于:2017-10-14 19:40
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2楼#
发布于:2017-10-15 14:03
92L
图片:2017AL92_4KMIRIMG_201710150530[1].gif ![]() 图片:2017AL92_4KMSRBDC_201710150530[1].jpg ![]() 图片:2017AL92_SRSNPPDV_201710140515[1].png ![]() |
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3楼#
发布于:2017-10-15 16:44
20%
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Ophelia, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean more than 300 miles east of the easternmost Azores. 1. A broad trough of low pressure centered over the Virgin Islands and the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and squalls over portions of the Leeward Islands and adjacent Atlantic waters. This activity is expected to spread across the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico later this morning and continue into the afternoon. Upper-level winds are forecast to remain hostile for any significant development to occur during the next day or two. However, the environment could become somewhat more conducive for development by early next week when the system begins to move northward and then recurves over the west-central Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Forecaster Stewart 图片:two_atl_2d1[2].png ![]() 图片:two_atl_5d0[1].png ![]() |
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4楼#
发布于:2017-10-16 12:26
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Ophelia, located over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles south-southwest of Ireland. 1. A large area of showers and thunderstorms located over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean between Puerto Rico and Bermuda is associated with a broad area of low pressure, which is centered about 150 miles east-northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands. Any development of this low while it moves generally northward over the western Atlantic during the next day or so is expected to be slow to occur due to strong upper-level winds, and the system is likely to merge with a front and become extratropical in a couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Forecaster Berg 图片:two_atl_2d1.png ![]() |
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5楼#
发布于:2017-10-17 11:36
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Broad low pressure centered about 500 miles southwest of Bermuda continues to produce an elongated area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms which extends from Puerto Rico northward over the western Atlantic Ocean. The low's circulation is not well defined, and significant tropical development appears unlikely during the next day or so due to strong upper-level winds. The disturbance is forecast to move generally northeastward, merging with a frontal system over the western Atlantic by Tuesday night. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Berg 图片:two_atl_2d1.png ![]() |
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6楼#
发布于:2017-10-17 18:55
LLCC似乎裸露了,有待整合
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