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[AL]巴哈马群岛东北92L - 29.7N 69.9W - NHC:40%

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更多 发布于:2017-10-13 19:02
92L INVEST 171013 0600  17.4N   55.3W ATL   25  1007

图片:20171013.1045.goes13.x.vis1km.92LINVEST.15kts-NAmb-174N-553W.100pc.jpg


图片:two_atl_2d1.png

图片:two_atl_5d1.png



1. Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday in
association with a broad area of low pressure located about 350
miles east of the northern Leeward Islands.  Upper-level winds are
not expected to be conducive for significant development during the
next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward at 15
to 20 mph and passes north of the Leeward Islands and the Virgin
Islands.  However, environmental conditions could become a little
more conducive for some development early next week while the system
begins to move northward over the west-central Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
[颱風巨爵于2017-10-18 05:55编辑了帖子]
2条评分, 金钱 +3 威望 +3
  • 9914dan
    威望 3
    92L
    2017-10-14 00:38
  • 9914dan
    金钱 3
    92L
    2017-10-14 00:38
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发布于:2017-10-14 19:40

图片:two_atl_5d0[1].png

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发布于:2017-10-15 14:03
92L

图片:2017AL92_4KMIRIMG_201710150530[1].gif

图片:2017AL92_4KMSRBDC_201710150530[1].jpg

图片:2017AL92_SRSNPPDV_201710140515[1].png

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发布于:2017-10-15 16:44
20%

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ophelia, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean more than 300 miles
east of the easternmost Azores.

1. A broad trough of low pressure centered over the Virgin Islands and
the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and
squalls over portions of the Leeward Islands and adjacent Atlantic
waters. This activity is expected to spread across the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico later this morning and continue into the
afternoon. Upper-level winds are forecast to remain hostile for any
significant development to occur during the next day or two.
However, the environment could become somewhat more conducive for
development by early next week when the system begins to move
northward and then recurves over the west-central Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Stewart


图片:two_atl_2d1[2].png

图片:two_atl_5d0[1].png

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发布于:2017-10-16 12:26
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ophelia, located over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean a few hundred
miles south-southwest of Ireland.

1. A large area of showers and thunderstorms located over the
southwestern Atlantic Ocean between Puerto Rico and Bermuda is
associated with a broad area of low pressure, which is centered
about 150 miles east-northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands.
Any development of this low while it moves generally northward over
the western Atlantic during the next day or so is expected to be
slow to occur due to strong upper-level winds, and the system is
likely to merge with a front and become extratropical in a couple of
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Berg

图片:two_atl_2d1.png

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发布于:2017-10-17 11:36
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Broad low pressure centered about 500 miles southwest of Bermuda
continues to produce an elongated area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms which extends from Puerto Rico northward over the
western Atlantic Ocean.  The low's circulation is not well defined,
and significant tropical development appears unlikely during the
next day or so due to strong upper-level winds.  The disturbance is
forecast to move generally northeastward, merging with a frontal
system over the western Atlantic by Tuesday night.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Berg

图片:two_atl_2d1.png

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6楼#
发布于:2017-10-17 18:55
LLCC似乎裸露了,有待整合
以后去海南工作,那里才有大台风可以看
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