颱風巨爵
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
  • 注册日期2013-08-03
  • 最后登录2018-01-21
  • 粉丝50
  • 关注3
  • 发帖数360
  • 来自
阅读:13291回复:276

[WP]1721号热带气旋“兰恩”(25W.Lan)机构发报专帖

楼主#
更多 发布于:2017-10-14 10:08

图片:wp912017.20171014020040.gif


WTPN21 PGTW 140230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.7N 140.0E TO 11.0N 134.7E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 140000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 8.7N 139.5E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 9.0N 142.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.7N 139.5E, APPROXIMATELY 95
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A SOMEWHAT ELONGATED AND WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH
CONVECTION BEGINNING TO PERSIST OVER THE CENTER. A 132112Z SSMIS
91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH
DISTINCT BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER AS WELL AS CENTRAL
CONVECTION. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN AN AREA OF GOOD
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20
KNOTS) AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30-31 CELSIUS).
GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT THE DISTURBANCE WILL TRACK TO THE WEST-
NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND INTENSIFY TO WARNING
CRITERIA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
150230Z.//
NNNN
[颱風巨爵于2017-10-16 03:23编辑了帖子]
2条评分, 威望 +2 贡献值 +2
喜欢0 评分2
颱風若只如初見。
luhang
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
  • 注册日期2014-08-08
  • 最后登录2018-01-21
  • 粉丝77
  • 关注58
  • 发帖数1882
  • 来自
1楼#
发布于:2017-10-15 11:20
JTWC/91W/TCFA #02/10-15 0230Z
WTPN21 PGTW 150230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT REISSUED//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140221Z OCT 17//
AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 140230)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
170 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.2N 138.1E TO 11.7N 133.5E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 150000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 8.5N 137.9E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 8.7N 139.5E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 137.9E, APPROXIMATELY 60
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH CONVECTION WRAPPING IN
FROM THE SOUTHWEST. A 150017Z AMSU-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A
SLIGHTLY ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DISTINCTIVE
BANDS WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED
IN AN AREA OF EXCELLENT UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, LOW TO MODERATE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-20 KNOTS) AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (30-31 CELSIUS). GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THAT 91W WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE NORTHWEST BUT ARE SPLIT AS TO WHEN THE
DISTURBANCE WILL INTENSIFY. THE MODELS ALSO INDICATE THAT ONCE THE
DISTURBANCE BEGINS TO INTENSIFY, IT WILL DO SO RAPIDLY, SOMETIME IN
THE NEXT 6-24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. THIS SUPERSEDES
REF A.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
160230Z.//
NNNN

图片:wp9117.gif

[luhang于2017-10-15 11:48编辑了帖子]
1条评分, 威望 +2
回眸过去,守望现在,眺望未来!
2014...2015...2016...2017...2018......
又是新的一年,感谢论坛,也感谢我在论坛的时光
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分(1)
wwwawa
热带风暴
热带风暴
  • 注册日期2017-09-21
  • 最后登录2018-01-21
  • 粉丝28
  • 关注2
  • 发帖数663
  • 来自
2楼#
发布于:2017-10-15 15:21
JMA/TD-b/10-15 06Z

图片:b-00.png



熱帯低気圧
平成29年10月15日16時15分 発表


<15日15時の実況>
大きさ -
強さ -
熱帯低気圧
存在地域 カロリン諸島
中心位置 北緯 8度55分(8.9度)
東経 137度25分(137.4度)
進行方向、速さ 西 20km/h(10kt)
中心気圧 1002hPa
中心付近の最大風速 15m/s(30kt)
最大瞬間風速 23m/s(45kt)


<16日15時の予報>
強さ -
存在地域 フィリピンの東
予報円の中心 北緯 10度35分(10.6度)
東経 135度10分(135.2度)
進行方向、速さ 北西 15km/h(7kt)
中心気圧 998hPa
中心付近の最大風速 18m/s(35kt)
最大瞬間風速 25m/s(50kt)
予報円の半径 200km(110NM)
[tcfa_gw于2017-10-15 15:22编辑了帖子]
1条评分, 威望 +1
  • tcfa_gw
    威望 1
    图片不符合要求 版主已改
    2017-10-15 15:23
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分(1)
wwwawa
热带风暴
热带风暴
  • 注册日期2017-09-21
  • 最后登录2018-01-21
  • 粉丝28
  • 关注2
  • 发帖数663
  • 来自
3楼#
发布于:2017-10-15 19:09
JMA/TD-b/10-15 09Z

图片:b-00.png


熱帯低気圧
平成29年10月15日19時10分 発表
<15日18時の実況>
大きさ-
強さ-
熱帯低気圧
存在地域カロリン諸島
中心位置北緯 9度05分(9.1度)
東経 137度00分(137.0度)
進行方向、速さ西 20km/h(10kt)
中心気圧1002hPa
中心付近の最大風速15m/s(30kt)
最大瞬間風速23m/s(45kt)
<16日18時の予報>
強さ-
存在地域フィリピンの東
予報円の中心北緯 11度05分(11.1度)
東経 135度05分(135.1度)
進行方向、速さ北西 15km/h(7kt)
中心気圧998hPa
中心付近の最大風速18m/s(35kt)
最大瞬間風速25m/s(50kt)
予報円の半径200km(110NM)
[wwwawa于2017-10-15 19:13编辑了帖子]
1条评分, 威望 +2
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分(1)
t02436
顶级超台
顶级超台
  • 注册日期2013-07-16
  • 最后登录2018-01-21
  • 粉丝67
  • 关注0
  • 发帖数5884
  • 来自
4楼#
发布于:2017-10-15 21:36
JMA/TD-b/10-15 12Z
熱帯低気圧
平成29年10月15日22時10分 発表

图片:JMA_TD-b_10-15_12Z.png


<15日21時の実況>
大きさ -
強さ -
熱帯低気圧
存在地域 カロリン諸島
中心位置 北緯 9度20分(9.3度)
東経 136度50分(136.8度)
進行方向、速さ 西北西 15km/h(7kt)
中心気圧 1004hPa
中心付近の最大風速 15m/s(30kt)
最大瞬間風速 23m/s(45kt)

<16日21時の予報>
強さ -
存在地域 フィリピンの東
予報円の中心 北緯 11度10分(11.2度)
東経 134度50分(134.8度)
進行方向、速さ 北西 15km/h(7kt)
中心気圧 998hPa
中心付近の最大風速 18m/s(35kt)
最大瞬間風速 25m/s(50kt)
予報円の半径 200km(110NM)
1条评分, 威望 +2
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分(1)
t02436
顶级超台
顶级超台
  • 注册日期2013-07-16
  • 最后登录2018-01-21
  • 粉丝67
  • 关注0
  • 发帖数5884
  • 来自
5楼#
发布于:2017-10-15 21:37
JTWC/25W/#01/10-15 12Z

图片:wp2517.gif


WTPN32 PGTW 151500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150221ZOCT2017//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (TWENTYFIVE) WARNING NR 001    
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   151200Z --- NEAR 9.3N 136.8E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   REPEAT POSIT: 9.3N 136.8E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   160000Z --- 10.2N 135.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   161200Z --- 10.9N 134.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   170000Z --- 11.2N 133.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   171200Z --- 11.8N 132.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   181200Z --- 13.7N 131.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   191200Z --- 16.5N 131.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            235 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   201200Z --- 19.9N 132.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            335 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            215 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
151500Z POSITION NEAR 9.5N 136.5E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (TWENTYFIVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 78 NM
WEST OF YAP, CNMI, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 8
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z, 160300Z, 160900Z AND 161500Z. REFER
TO TYPHOON 24W (KHANUN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 150230).//
NNNN
1条评分, 威望 +2
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分(1)
t02436
顶级超台
顶级超台
  • 注册日期2013-07-16
  • 最后登录2018-01-21
  • 粉丝67
  • 关注0
  • 发帖数5884
  • 来自
6楼#
发布于:2017-10-15 22:53
JTWC/25W/#01/10-15 12Z Prognostic Reasoning
WDPN32 PGTW 151500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (TWENTYFIVE)
WARNING NR 01//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (TWENTYFIVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 78 NM
WEST OF YAP, FSM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS IMPROVED AS FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDS, ALBEIT STILL
SHALLOW, HAVE BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND SYMMETRICALLY WRAPPED INTO A
DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INITIAL POSITION LINED UP
WELL WITH A LOW REFLECTIVITY CIRCULATION FEATURE IN THE 150922Z SSMIS
MICROWAVE PASS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 25 KNOTS IS CONSISTENT WITH
DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, KNES, AND RJTD. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF LOW (05-10 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND MODERATE RADIAL OUTFLOW THAT IS PROVIDING ADEQUATE
VENTILATION TO THE CENTRAL CONVECTION. ALONG-TRACK SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA ARE 30 DEG CELSIUS AND ALSO    
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THE CYCLONE IS CURRENTLY TRACKING WITH THE
LOW LEVEL EASTERLY TRADEWIND FLOW.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
   A. THIS IS THE INITIAL PROGNOSTIC REASONING BULLETIN ON THIS
SYSTEM AND SETS THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY.
   B. NEAR TERM, TD 25W WILL GRADUALLY TRACK ON A MORE NORTHWESTWARD
TRAJECTORY AS A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE TO THE EAST EMERGES AS THE
INITIAL STEERING MECHANISM. HOWEVER, AFTER TAU 24, A MID-LEVEL
REFLECTION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTHEAST WILL
ASSUME STEERING AND DRIVE THE CYCLONE ON A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. AFTER
TAU 36, THE STR WILL WEAKEN AND RECEDE, ALLOWING TD 25W TO TRACK MORE
POLEWARD. THE FAVORABLE DYNAMICS MENTIONED IN PARA 2 WILL PERSIST AND
PROMOTE A FASTER THAN NORMAL INTENSIFICATION; BY TAU 72 THE SYSTEM
WILL BE A MODERATE TYPHOON AT 90 KNOTS CENTRAL WIND SPEED.
   C. AFTER TAU 72, TD 25W WILL CONTINUE ITS NORTHWARD TRACK UNDER
THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE STR AND MAY LIKELY UNDERGO RAPID
INTENSIFICATION AS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FURTHER IMPROVE INCLUDING
INCREASED POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REACH 110 KNOTS
CENTRAL WIND SPEED BY END OF FORECAST, POSSIBLY HIGHER. THE AVAILABLE
NUMERIC GUIDANCE, TYPICAL WITH DEVELOPING SYSTEMS, IS IN POOR
AGREEMENT AS INDICATED IN THE WIDE SPREAD IN THE MODEL ENVELOPE. IN
VIEW OF THIS, THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL JTWC TRACK
FORECAST ON TD 25W.//
NNNN
1条评分, 威望 +2
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分(1)
t02436
顶级超台
顶级超台
  • 注册日期2013-07-16
  • 最后登录2018-01-21
  • 粉丝67
  • 关注0
  • 发帖数5884
  • 来自
7楼#
发布于:2017-10-16 00:11
JMA/TD-b/10-15 15Z
熱帯低気圧
平成29年10月16日01時10分 発表

图片:JMA_TD-b_10-15_15Z.png


<16日00時の実況>
大きさ -
強さ -
熱帯低気圧
存在地域 カロリン諸島
中心位置 北緯 9度30分(9.5度)
東経 136度30分(136.5度)
進行方向、速さ 北西 10km/h(6kt)
中心気圧 1002hPa
中心付近の最大風速 15m/s(30kt)
最大瞬間風速 23m/s(45kt)

<17日00時の予報>
強さ -
存在地域 フィリピンの東
予報円の中心 北緯 11度35分(11.6度)
東経 134度30分(134.5度)
進行方向、速さ 北西 15km/h(7kt)
中心気圧 998hPa
中心付近の最大風速 18m/s(35kt)
最大瞬間風速 25m/s(50kt)
予報円の半径 200km(110NM)
1条评分, 威望 +2
  • wusifeng
    威望 2
    精华帖
    2017-10-20 19:40
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分(1)
t02436
顶级超台
顶级超台
  • 注册日期2013-07-16
  • 最后登录2018-01-21
  • 粉丝67
  • 关注0
  • 发帖数5884
  • 来自
8楼#
发布于:2017-10-16 08:24
CMA/1721/10-15 18Z

图片:SEVP_NMC_TCBU_SFER_EME_ACWP_L89_PB_20171016020000056.jpg


ZCZC
WSCI40 BABJ 151800
TO BCSY BCHK BCSH BCCD BCGZ
BETY BEXA BETJ BESZ BEJN BEZZ BEBJ
2053 0669 1417 0143 2456 (9.7) 9887 9976
(136.2) 9878 4104 3583 1601 3049 2467 2456
9915 9818 9899 7030 1193 4882 3634 4574
(1721) 5714 3583 1601 3049 2467 9975
BABJ/3049 9710 9915 9818 =
NNNN

ZCZC
TCPQ40 BABJ 151800
CCAA 15180 99398 11165
LAN 21097 11362 1//// 225// 9////
NNNN

ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 151800
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TS LAN 1721 (1721) INITIAL TIME 151800 UTC
00HR 9.7N 136.2E 1000HPA 18M/S
30KTS WINDS 100KM NORTHEAST
120KM SOUTHEAST
100KM SOUTHWEST
80KM NORTHWEST
MOVE WNW 12KM/H
P+12HR 9.9N 135.0E 995HPA 20M/S
P+24HR 10.4N 133.6E 990HPA 23M/S
P+36HR 11.0N 133.3E 982HPA 28M/S
P+48HR 12.0N 133.6E 975HPA 33M/S
P+60HR 13.7N 133.8E 970HPA 35M/S
P+72HR 15.6N 133.2E 960HPA 40M/S
P+96HR 18.0N 131.5E 950HPA 45M/S
P+120HR 19.6N 130.7E 935HPA 52M/S=
NNNN
1条评分, 威望 +2
  • wusifeng
    威望 2
    优秀帖
    2017-10-20 19:40
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分(1)
t02436
顶级超台
顶级超台
  • 注册日期2013-07-16
  • 最后登录2018-01-21
  • 粉丝67
  • 关注0
  • 发帖数5884
  • 来自
9楼#
发布于:2017-10-16 08:25
KMA/1721/10-15 18Z
No.21 LAN
Issued at(KST) : 2017.10.16. 05:00
日期(UTC)位置中心气压 (hPa)最大风速
(m/s)
15 m/s
半径
(km)
强度规模移动方向移动速度(km/h)70%概率的半径(km)
Lat
(N)
Lon
(E)
m/skm/h
2017.10.15. 18:00 Analysis9.7136.210001865180
WeakSmallWNW15
2017.10.16. 18:00 Forecast11.0134.09962072250
WeakSmallWNW12140
2017.10.17. 18:00 Forecast12.5132.69852797300
NormalMediumNW9230
2017.10.18. 18:00 Forecast15.0131.597035126330
StrongMediumNNW13320
2017.10.19. 18:00 Forecast17.9131.096039140350
StrongMediumN13460
2017.10.20. 18:00 Forecast21.2131.295043155380
StrongMediumN16550

图片:RTKO63_201710160500]21_en.png

1条评分, 威望 +2
  • wusifeng
    威望 2
    优秀帖
    2017-10-20 19:40
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分(1)
上一页
游客

返回顶部