933954
强热带风暴
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[AL]北大西洋中部热带风暴“丽娜”(19L.Rina) - 洋中生成,北上转化

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更多 发布于:2017-11-04 08:46
95L INVEST 171104 0000  35.0N   49.0W ATL   15   NA
95L INVEST 171104 0000  23.5N   53.0W ATL   20  1010

图片:20171104.0030.msg-3.ir.95L.INVEST.20kts.1010mb.23.5N.53W.100pc.jpg



图片:two_atl_2d1.png

图片:two_atl_5d1.png


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Satellite imagery indicates that a weak area of low pressure has
formed about 1000 miles southeast of Bermuda, accompanied by
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.  This low could
acquire some tropical or subtropical characteristics as it moves to
the north-northeast over the central Atlantic this weekend and
early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
[颱風巨爵于2017-11-09 09:37编辑了帖子]
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格物致知
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
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1楼#
发布于:2017-11-04 14:17
94L重编
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933954
强热带风暴
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2楼#
发布于:2017-11-04 15:13
格物致知锛94L重编鍥炲埌鍘熷笘
不知道是不是。图一为94L 图二为95L

图片:1.track.png

图片:56.track.png



搞不懂
[933954于2017-11-04 15:25编辑了帖子]
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933954
强热带风暴
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3楼#
发布于:2017-11-04 15:35
格物致知锛94L重编鍥炲埌鍘熷笘
AL, 95, 2017110300,   , BEST,   0, 199N,  537W,  20, 1010, DB
加上报文就显而易见了。。95L前期是在20N以南形成的。而94L一直处于25-32N
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iam最小值
论坛版主-副热带高压
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4楼#
发布于:2017-11-05 10:43
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Nov 4 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An elongated low pressure area centered about 850 miles east-
southeast of Bermuda continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  This low could acquire some tropical or subtropical
characteristics as it moves to the north-northeast over the central
Atlantic through this weekend into the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Beven

图片:two_atl_2d1.png

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追风的小孩
热带风暴
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5楼#
发布于:2017-11-05 13:58

图片:two_atl_5d0[1].png

广西壮族自治区贵港市港北区荷城小学4年级3班学生
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6楼#
发布于:2017-11-05 13:59
95L

图片:2017AL95_4KMIRIMG_201711050515[1].gif

图片:2017AL95_4KMSRBDC_201711050515[1].jpg

广西壮族自治区贵港市港北区荷城小学4年级3班学生
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发布于:2017-11-05 17:43
风切较小

图片:wg8wxc[2].gif

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8楼#
发布于:2017-11-05 19:38
20%
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Sun Nov 5 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A large low pressure system centered about 875 miles east-southeast
of Bermuda continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  This low could acquire some subtropical or
tropical characteristics by Tuesday or Wednesday while it moves
toward the north-northeast over the north-central Atlantic
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Stewart


图片:two_atl_2d1[1].png

图片:two_atl_5d0[1].png

[追风的小孩于2017-11-05 19:39编辑了帖子]
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ray790601
热带低压
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9楼#
发布于:2017-11-06 07:44
NHC : 70%

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a well-defined low
pressure system located about 850 miles east-southeast of Bermuda
continues to become better organized.  Conditions are currently
favorable for additional development, and a tropical or subtropical
depression could form during the next day or two as the system moves
north-northeastward through the open Atlantic.  Conditions are
expected to become less conducive for development in the middle part
of next week, when the system is expected to reach colder water and
merge with a cold front.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

图片:two_atl_2d1 (3).png

图片:rbtop-animated (11).gif



WTNT21 KNGU 060000 COR
REF/A/FLEWEACEN NORFOLK VA/060000Z NOV 17//
AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTNT21 KNGU 060000)//
RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE
WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 29.2N 51.8W TO 33.2N 50.8W
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 060000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 29.2N 51.8W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 02
KNOTS.
2.SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA HAVE INCREASED
AND BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR THE SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. IF THIS CONVECTIVE TREND CONTINUES
A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE IS LIKELY TO FORM DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE LOW DRIFTS NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED
BY 070000Z.//

图片:al9517 20171106 0000Z.gif

[iam最小值于2017-11-06 09:27编辑了帖子]
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