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[AL]亚速尔群岛西南96L - 32.5N 31.2W - NHC:40%

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更多 发布于:2017-11-12 07:05
AL, 96, 2017111118,   , BEST,   0, 302N,  339W,  30, 1016, DB,

图片:20171111.2245.goes-13.ir.96L.INVEST.30kts.1016mb.30.2N.33.9W.100pc.jpg


图片:two_atl_2d1.png

图片:two_atl_5d1.png



1. A sharp surface trough interacting with an upper-level low is
producing an elongated area of showers and thunderstorms more than
500 miles southwest of the Azores.  Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for a non-tropical low to form during the
next day or so. The system could gradually acquire some subtropical
characteristics by the middle of next week while it moves slowly
northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
[iam最小值于2017-11-14 09:54编辑了帖子]
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1楼#
发布于:2017-11-13 00:17
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Sun Nov 12 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A surface trough interacting with an upper-level low continues to
produce an elongated area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms
about 700 miles southwest of the Azores.  Environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for a non-tropical low to form during
the next day or so, and the system could gradually acquire some
subtropical characteristics by the middle of next week while it
moves slowly northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Beven

图片:two_atl_2d1.png

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2楼#
发布于:2017-11-13 12:02
NHC:30%
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sun Nov 12 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in
association with a low pressure system located about 700 miles
southwest of the Azores.  Environmental conditions are expected to
be conducive for some additional development, and the system could
become a subtropical cyclone during the next few days while it moves
slowly northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

图片:two_atl_2d0.png

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3楼#
发布于:2017-11-14 09:53
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Mon Nov 13 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system
located about 500 miles south-southwest of the Azores have changed
little in organization today.  Gradual development of this system
is still possible, and it could become a subtropical cyclone during
the next couple of days before upper-level winds become
unfavorable.  Regardless of development, this low is expected to
produce winds to near gale force during the next couple of days
while it moves slowly northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web
at http://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml, and in High Seas
Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and
available on the web at
http://www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin.

Forecaster Cangialosi

图片:two_atl_2d1.png

图片:2017AL96_1KMSRRGB_201711131540_SYNT.GIF

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4楼#
发布于:2017-11-15 10:48
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Tue Nov 14 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with a
broad area of low pressure located about 150 miles south-southwest
of the Azores. However, this system still has some potential to
become a subtropical cyclone during the next day or so before
upper-level winds become unfavorable. For additional information on
this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo-France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo-France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at
http://www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin.

Forecaster Stewart

图片:two_atl_2d1.png

图片:2017AL96_SRSNPPTN_201711141508.png

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