[SH(17-18)]所罗门群岛以南98P - 14.5S 160.0E

94w东南。南半球活跃了

(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.5S
161.9E, APPROXIMATELY 128 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON
ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 020455Z SSMIS 91GHZ
IMAGE DEPICTS THE MAJORITY OF THE FLARING CONVECTION DISPLACED TO
THE NORTHWEST OF THE BROAD AREA OF MIDLEVEL TURNING WITH NO DEFINED
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
98P IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF STRONG (30-40 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS) WITH RIDGING TO THE NORTH AND WARM (29-30 CELSIUS) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE SURROUNDING AREA. GLOBAL MODELS
INDICATE THAT 98P HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR WEAK DEVELOPMENT BEYOND TAU
36 AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SOUTH INTO A MORE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL AREA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

图片：abpwsair.jpg

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea
Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Saturday 2 December 2017
for the period until midnight EST Tuesday 5 December 2017.

Existing Cyclones in the  Eastern Region:

None.

Potential Cyclones:  

There are currently no significant tropical lows in the region. A tropical low
may form in the Solomon Sea during the next 24 to 48 hours, but at this stage it
is rated a very low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone. This tropical
low is expected to remain well offshore of the Queensland coast.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
                                   Sunday: Very low
                                   Monday: Very low
                                   Tuesday: Very low

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