约瑟但以理
强热带风暴
强热带风暴
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30楼#
发布于:2018-01-15 19:40
nicedavid12138锛歀OW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 04N 111E ALMOST STATIONARY.鍥炲埌鍘熷笘
但是菲东PASAGA私自编了LPA,还有怎么不升TD
家住宝山吴淞
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nicedavid12138
热带低压
热带低压
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31楼#
发布于:2018-01-15 20:58
20180115.1220.himawari-8.ir.90W.INVEST.20kts.1007mb.3.9N.108.7E

图片:20180115.1220.himawari-8.ir.90W.INVEST.20kts.1007mb.3.9N.108.7E.100pc.jpg

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Luigi728
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
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32楼#
发布于:2018-01-15 22:23
在06Z,90W已經從1.1度北移至3.3度,緯度較高科氏力較強,不知道能否發展?

ABPW10 PGTW 150600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/150600Z-160600ZJAN2018//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 1.1N 107.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.3N 108.2E, APPROXIMATELY 285
NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SINGAPORE. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS PERSISTENT DEEP FLARING CONVECTION. A 150156Z ASCAT
METOP-B IMAGE SHOWS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR THE PULAU SUBI-BESAR
ISLAND IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED
IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW WIND SHEAR (10-15
KNOTS), GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-
30 CELSIUS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE MIXED AS TO THE DIRECTION THE SYSTEM
WILL TRACK, BUT INDICATES THAT THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO WILL REMAIN
QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE VICINITY OF THE MALAYSIA PENINSULA AND DRIFT
SLIGHTLY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15
TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
即使可能性非常非常小,但我還是願意相信,某一天我會等到奇蹟的發生。無論你對我有沒有感覺,無論你會不會被我感動,無論這一切會不會有結果,我都願意無怨無悔的為你執著到底。就如天文台說「即使再來一次,也會同樣發出八號風球」一樣,即使再來一次,我也會願意為你付出一切。即使這個故事永遠沒有結局,這一切也值得。因為,親愛的,我愛你。因為我愛你,所以我願意繼續等待奇蹟,繼續等待我們的結局,繼續為了我們幸運快樂的結局而奮鬥下去!
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feidele
强台风
强台风
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33楼#
发布于:2018-01-15 22:24
Luigi728锛氃06Z,90W已經從1.1度北移至3.3度,緯度較高科氏力較強,不知道能否發展?

ABPW10 PGTW 150600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
...
鍥炲埌鍘熷笘
渐渐不是画眉了。可惜
如果可以的话,我希望为了我的梦想去努力
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真宫寺小乔
荣誉会员-暖池
荣誉会员-暖池
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34楼#
发布于:2018-01-16 09:33
风切40发展个鬼啊
我知道我很笨,很没用,可是,我白天拼命练习法术,我很努力!夜晚…发奋提高知识,然后每天……到拼抢散派任务,这么多的努力和汗水,都是为了能和姐姐们一样,成为一个堂堂正正的狐妖!
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Luigi728
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
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35楼#
发布于:2018-01-16 09:53
JTWC:Low......風切30-40knots太強了,看來還是沒戲了

ABPW10 PGTW 160130
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/160130Z-160600ZJAN2018//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INV 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
3.3N 108.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.7N 109.0E, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF SINGAPORE. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY
DEPICTS SHEARED, FLARING CONVECTION ABOVE A WEAK, ILL-DEFINED LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). RECENT 85GHZ SSMI AND 91GHZ SSMIS MICROWAVE
IMAGES REVEAL THAT 90W HAS NO CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION REFLECTING A
FORMATIVE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. A 151440Z METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE
INDICATES THE WEAK LLC REFORMED TO THE SOUTH, WHILE VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR REMAINS HIGH (30-40 KNOTS). THIS, AND THE WANING MONSOON
SURGE, ARE MAKING CONDITIONS MORE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.
GLOBAL DYNAMIC MODELS ARE BACKING OFF AND NO LONGER FAVOR
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEAR FUTURE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO
LOW.//
即使可能性非常非常小,但我還是願意相信,某一天我會等到奇蹟的發生。無論你對我有沒有感覺,無論你會不會被我感動,無論這一切會不會有結果,我都願意無怨無悔的為你執著到底。就如天文台說「即使再來一次,也會同樣發出八號風球」一樣,即使再來一次,我也會願意為你付出一切。即使這個故事永遠沒有結局,這一切也值得。因為,親愛的,我愛你。因為我愛你,所以我願意繼續等待奇蹟,繼續等待我們的結局,繼續為了我們幸運快樂的結局而奮鬥下去!
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meow
世纪风王
世纪风王
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36楼#
发布于:2018-01-16 13:48
撤销评级

图片:abpwsair.jpg


ABPW10 PGTW 160600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/160600Z-170600ZJAN2018//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
Meow, a sex-starved pussy, gets aroused when everyone at the pool stares at her white and soaked up swimsuit turning see-through and exposing her tempting body.
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