颱風巨爵
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论坛版主-副热带高压
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[SH(17-18)]斐济东南95P - 24.3S 168.8W

楼主#
更多 发布于:2018-01-29 08:09
95P INVEST 180128 1800  25.0S  178.0W SHEM   15   NA

图片:20180128.2352.goes-15.vis.1km.95P.INVEST.15kts.996mb.25S.178W.100pc.jpg



图片:latestSWP.png



图片:wg10svor.GIF

[颱風巨爵于2018-02-01 07:34编辑了帖子]
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  • luhang
    威望 3
    95P
    01-29 08:55
  • luhang
    金钱 3
    95P
    01-29 08:55
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颱風若只如初見。
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强台风
强台风
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1楼#
发布于:2018-01-30 14:00
JTWC:LOW
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
22.8S 175.7W, APPROXIMATELY 485 NM SOUTHEAST OF NADI, FIJI. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 300345Z 91GHZ SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE
DEPICT A BROAD, ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH SPARSE
ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE VICINITY OF 95P IS
MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KNOTS) BUT HAS BEEN DECREASING OVER THE LAST
24 HOURS. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE WARM (27-28 CELSIUS) AND WILL
SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL DYNAMIC MODELS PREDICT POSSIBLE
DEVELOPMENT AROUND TAU 48 INTO A SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM WITH GOOD
AGREEMENT AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS TO THE EAST IN THE NEAR TERM. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.

图片:2648d21b0ef41bd5e39fff3d5ada81cb3bdb3d84.jpg

[颱風巨爵于2018-01-31 00:32编辑了帖子]
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