9914dan
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[SH(17-18)]塔希提西南92P - 19.6S 154.5W

楼主#
更多 发布于:2018-02-17 02:39
92P INVEST 180216 1800  15.9S  164.0W SHEM   20  1007

图片:QQ图片20180217133319.jpg

[9914dan于2018-02-20 16:17编辑了帖子]
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  • luhang
    威望 3
    92P
    02-20 17:37
  • luhang
    金钱 3
    92P
    02-20 17:37
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iam最小值
论坛版主-副热带高压
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1楼#
发布于:2018-02-19 02:57
ABPW10 PGTW 181300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/181300Z-190600ZFEB2018//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/180752ZFEB2018//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 180600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 09P (GITA) WAS LOCATED NEAR
27.4S 162.6E, APPROXIMATELY 371 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW
CALEDONIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50
KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 180900) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 18.5S 165.8W, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.5S 160.5W, APPROXIMATELY
500 NM WEST OF BORA BORA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS
A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE EAST.
A 180830Z ASCAT IMAGE SHOWS A SMALL REGION OF 30 KNOT WINDS CO-
LOCATED WITH THE CONVECTIVE FLARING. THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT
REMAINS MARGINAL WITH MODERATE (15-20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
WEAK DIVERGENCE ALOFT. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN WARM (27-29
CELSIUS). GLOBAL DYNAMIC MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT PREDICTING
92P TRACKING SOUTH AND POSSIBLY REACHING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
BEYOND TAU 36. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25
TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.

图片:abpwsair.jpg

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红豆棒冰冰
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2楼#
发布于:2018-02-20 14:15
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.9S
154.3W, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

图片:8dded43f8794a4c28fbdab1402f41bd5ac6e39cd.jpg

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