9914dan
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
  • 注册日期2009-06-25
  • 最后登录2018-08-17
  • 粉丝132
  • 关注59
  • 发帖数2428
  • 来自
阅读:590回复:5

[SH(17-18)]迪戈加西亚东南91S - 13.4S 76.7E

楼主#
更多 发布于:2018-03-09 18:01
91S INVEST 180309 0600  11.0S   73.5E SHEM   20  1007

图片:2018SH91_4KMIRIMG_201803091130.gif



[9914dan于2018-03-17 01:44编辑了帖子]
2条评分, 金钱 +3 威望 +3
喜欢0 评分2
红豆棒冰冰
强热带风暴
强热带风暴
  • 注册日期2017-10-28
  • 最后登录2018-08-17
  • 粉丝23
  • 关注23
  • 发帖数512
  • 来自
1楼#
发布于:2018-03-10 10:47
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.2S
73.9E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.4S 75.5E, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION CENTRALLY LOCATED OVER A FORMATIVE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS STRONG
DIVERGENCE ALOFT WITH POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT IS BEING OFFSET BY MODERATE TO STRONG (20-25 KNOT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS PREVENTING SUBSTANTIAL DEVELOPMENT AT
THIS TIME. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE REGION ARE WARM (28-29
CELSIUS) AND WILL SUPPORT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS
INDICATE THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK TO THE EAST, REACHING TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH WITHIN THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
MEDIUM.

图片:QQ图片20180310123857.jpg

[红豆棒冰冰于2018-03-10 12:40编辑了帖子]
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
superstorm
强热带风暴
强热带风暴
  • 注册日期2016-11-30
  • 最后登录2018-08-17
  • 粉丝41
  • 关注58
  • 发帖数607
  • 来自
2楼#
发布于:2018-03-10 15:39
感觉要藤原,路径方面或许不会太稳定
以后去海南工作,那里才有大台风可以看
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
红豆棒冰冰
强热带风暴
强热带风暴
  • 注册日期2017-10-28
  • 最后登录2018-08-17
  • 粉丝23
  • 关注23
  • 发帖数512
  • 来自
3楼#
发布于:2018-03-12 07:10
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 12.4S 75.5E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

图片:2d5f4b36acaf2edddf85e9f1811001e93901930c.jpg

[红豆棒冰冰于2018-03-12 13:05编辑了帖子]
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
红豆棒冰冰
强热带风暴
强热带风暴
  • 注册日期2017-10-28
  • 最后登录2018-08-17
  • 粉丝23
  • 关注23
  • 发帖数512
  • 来自
4楼#
发布于:2018-03-14 11:05
(3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
12.7S 80.0E, APPROXIMATELY 550 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 132242Z 91GHZ
SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOW A LARGE MASS OF DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED
TO THE SOUTH OF AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE TO HIGH (15-25 KNOTS) OVER 91S. HOWEVER THIS
IS OFFSET BY POLEWARD OUTFLOW INDUCING STRONG DIVERGENCE ALOFT. WARM
(27-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL SUPPORT FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THE POSSIBILITY OF DEVELOPMENT
BEYOND 24 HOURS, BUT VARY ON HOW LONG THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN QUASI-
STATIONARY BEFORE HEADING SOUTHWEST.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
zjk369
强热带风暴
强热带风暴
  • 注册日期2012-08-19
  • 最后登录2018-08-14
  • 粉丝27
  • 关注3
  • 发帖数224
  • 来自
5楼#
发布于:2018-03-14 11:32
JTWC 0230Z發佈LOW

图片:abpwsair 201803140230.jpg


回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
游客

返回顶部