颱風巨爵
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
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[WP]关岛以南93W - 4.4N 142.4E

楼主#
更多 发布于:2018-04-25 23:32
93W INVEST 180425 1200   3.7N  146.4E WPAC   15   NA

图片:20180425.1500.himawari-8.ir.93W.INVEST.15kts.1006mb.3.7N.146.4E.100pc.jpg


[颱風巨爵于2018-04-29 07:30编辑了帖子]
2条评分, 金钱 +5 威望 +5
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一上高樓萬里愁,蒹葭楊柳似汀洲。溪雲初起日沉閣,山雨欲來風滿樓。
lawman
热带低压
热带低压
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1楼#
发布于:2018-04-26 09:22
該處持續性有強對流爆發,風切變不算高
[lawman于2018-04-26 09:34编辑了帖子]
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红豆棒冰冰
热带风暴
热带风暴
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2楼#
发布于:2018-04-26 13:29
ABPW10 PGTW 260600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/260600Z-270600ZAPR2018//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 3.3N
144.6E, APPROXIMATELY 534 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
COVERED BY FLARING CONVECTION. A 252326Z METOP-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE SHOWS FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO AN AREA OF DEEP
CONVECTION. A 260026Z ASCAT PASS REVEALS CYCLONIC TURNING AND
TROUGHING, A LINE OF CONVERGENCE, AND AN AREA OF 20 KNOT WIND BARBS
TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER, BUT NOT A CLOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION.
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT 93W IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF
LOW (5-10 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND STRONG DIVERGENCE ALOFT WHICH
IS FUELING DEEP CONVECTION. WARM (28-30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS DO NOT
SHOW DEVELOPMENT IN THE 96 HOUR WINDOW AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN

图片:abpwsair.jpg

[红豆棒冰冰于2018-04-26 13:32编辑了帖子]
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禾愛糖
超强台风
超强台风
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3楼#
发布于:2018-04-26 15:38
這個擾動EC,GFS都有反應
應該算是今年第一條強而有氣勢的信風槽了,只不過先前副高不在不夠東風差合,但新報ec報副高的位置剛好很合適,估計華南風季也即將開幕
從前的我打倒今天的我。

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追风的乐趣
热带扰动
热带扰动
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4楼#
发布于:2018-04-26 16:51
能不能连签就看你了,93W快给我发展起来。
1条评分, 金钱 +1
  • feidele
    金钱 +1
    心态平稳点
    04-26 16:55
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superstorm
强热带风暴
强热带风暴
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5楼#
发布于:2018-04-26 22:02
华南风季起码下下个月吧
以后去海南工作,那里才有大台风可以看
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热带很低的低压
积雨云
积雨云
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6楼#
发布于:2018-04-26 23:30
垂直风切变、辐散和海温都不错,就是不发展
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红豆棒冰冰
热带风暴
热带风暴
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7楼#
发布于:2018-04-27 16:52

ABPW10 PGTW 270600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/270600Z-280600ZAPR2018//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 3.3N 144.6E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN

图片:abpwsair.jpg

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