昔日的王者
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[WP]菲律宾以东92W - 18.6N 133.7E

楼主#
更多 发布于:2018-06-09 14:28
92W INVEST 180609 0600   5.0N  170.0E WPAC   15  1010

图片:20180609.0550.hm8.x.vis1km.92WINVEST.15kts-1010mb-50N-1700E.100pc.jpg

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做最好的追风者
昔日的王者
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1楼#
发布于:2018-06-09 14:37
远洋东风波
做最好的追风者
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327
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2楼#
发布于:2018-06-09 14:40
170.0E离关岛很远了吧……
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红豆棒冰冰
台风
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3楼#
发布于:2018-06-09 22:57
稍早前的风场扫描

图片:cad9a0ec08fa513d3d16e95f316d55fbb3fbd94d.jpg

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红豆棒冰冰
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4楼#
发布于:2018-06-11 20:22
突然20kt,但是没有评级
WP, 92, 2018061112,   , BEST,   0,  77N, 1542E,  20, 1007, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1011,  160,  45,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0,     INVEST,  ,
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发布于:2018-06-12 06:48
ABPW10 PGTW 112030
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/112030Z-120600ZJUN2018//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111352ZJUN2018//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 111200Z, TROPICAL STORM 06W (MALIKSI) WAS LOCATED NEAR
34.9N 144.5E, APPROXIMATELY 237 NM EAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, AND HAD
TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 33 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 111500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.3N
153.6E, APPROXIMATELY 601 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING CONSOLIDATING
CONVECTION. A 111929Z GMI 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION AND
FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE NASCENT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER. RECENT PARTIAL ASCAT PASSES REVEAL 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH 92W, WITH STRONGER WINDS DISPLACED UP TO 200NM FROM
THE CUSP OF A WAVELIKE PATTERN. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A
MODERATE ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KNOTS)
AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE WARM (29-30
C), CONDUCIVE FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE THAT THE
SYSTEM WILL TRACK TO THE NORTH-WEST, BUT DISAGREE ON HOW MUCH IT
WILL DEVELOP. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO
20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA TO PARA.1.B.(1) AS A LOW.//
NNNN

图片:abpwsair.jpg

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Mitch
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发布于:2018-06-12 11:25
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7楼#
发布于:2018-06-12 14:20
JTWC:REMAINS LOW
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
8.3N 153.6E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.3N 151.8E, LOCATED OVER CHUUK.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DISORGANIZED,
FLARING CONVECTION WITH A 112350Z MHS METOP-A 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE
EMPHASIZING THAT THERE IS DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED OVER THE CENTER. A
112311Z METOP-B PARTIAL ASCAT PASS REVEALS THERE IS AN ASYMMETRIC
CIRCULATION ON THE SURFACE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THERE IS
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW,
AND WARM SSTS (29-30C). GLOBAL MODELS SHOW NO DEVELOPMENT AS THE
SYSTEM TRACKS TO THE NORTHWEST. HOWEVER, THE INVEST REMAINS DUE TO
ITS CLOSE PROXIMITY TO GUAM.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

图片:ABPWSAIR.JPG

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红豆棒冰冰
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8楼#
发布于:2018-06-14 11:41
TPPN12 PGTW 140330
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 92W (S OF GUAM)
B. 14/0250Z
C. 11.81N
D. 144.52E
E. FIVE/HMWRI8
F. T1.0/1.0 STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .15 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 1.0. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE

 RICHARDSON

图片:bd_lalo-animated.gif

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发布于:2018-06-14 14:00
JTWC取消评级

图片:140500abpwsair.jpg



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