颱風巨爵
论坛版主-副热带高压
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[WP]1807号台风“派比安”(09W.Prapiroon) - 高空冷涡诱生,掠过久米岛,长崎阵风14级,通过对马海峡

楼主#
更多 发布于:2018-06-26 03:38
WP, 90, 2018062518,   , BEST,   0, 178N, 1422E,  15,    0, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0,     INVEST,  ,

图片:20180625.1930.himawari-8.ir.90W.INVEST.15kts.996mb.17.8N.142.2E.100pc.jpg

[颱風巨爵于2018-07-04 15:39编辑了帖子]
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台风大师
热带低压
热带低压
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1楼#
发布于:2018-06-27 09:08
TPPN10 PGTW 270036
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 90W (NW OF GUAM)
B. 27/0000Z
C. 17.98N
D. 135.66E
E. FIVE/HMWRI8
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 70/PBO ANMTN.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   LOWE
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红豆棒冰冰
台风
台风
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2楼#
发布于:2018-06-27 22:32
JMA:LPA
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 18N 134E WNW SLOWLY.

图片:18062721.png


图片:18062721 (1).png


图片:avn_lalo-animated.gif

[颱風巨爵于2018-06-27 23:04编辑了帖子]
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红豆棒冰冰
台风
台风
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3楼#
发布于:2018-06-28 01:37
(动图)GFS 2018062712z预报90W将东海转向,登陆韩国

图片:gfs_z500_mslp_wpac_fh0-120.gif

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炎煌深沉
台风
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4楼#
发布于:2018-06-28 07:27
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
18.8N 132.9E, APPROXIMATELY 535 NM SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION, BROAD TURNING, AND FORMATIVE
BANDING. A 271228Z MHS 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF
ROTATION WITH A PARTIALLY EXPOSED CENTER AND LIMITED DEEP
CONVECTION. A 271227Z PARTIAL ASCAT PASS SHOWS A SLIGHTLY ELONGATED
BUT CLOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH PRIMARILY 10 KNOT WINDS
WRAPPED AROUND THE SYSTEM, AND A PATCH OF 15-20 KNOT WINDS LOCATED
TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN AN AREA OF
GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, LOW TO MODERATE (10-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR, AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30-31 CELSIUS).
RECENT GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BEEN TRENDING TOWARDS SHOWING DEVELOPMENT
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS 90W TRACKS TO THE NORTHWEST, WITH
NAVGEM INTENSIFYING 90W THE MOST AS A CLOSED ORGANIZED CIRCULATION.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

图片:abpwsair.jpg

[炎煌深沉于2018-06-28 07:45编辑了帖子]
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炎煌深沉
台风
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5楼#
发布于:2018-06-28 08:41
JTWC:UPGRADED TO MEDIUM
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 18.8N 132.9E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 132.9E, APPROXIMATELY
500 NM SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH PERSISTENT
POCKETS OF CONVECTION, SLIGHTLY ELONGATED, AND WITH FORMATIVE
BANDING PRESENT. OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS THE SYSTEM'S CONVECTIVE
STRUCTURE HAS IMPROVED GREATLY. A 272110Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE SHOWS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED CENTER AND LIMITED DEEP CONVECTION
WITH DISTINCT LOW LEVEL BANDING FEATURES PRESENT. THE DISTURBANCE IS
CURRENTLY LOCATED IN AN AREA OF GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, LOW (10-
15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (30-31 CELSIUS). RECENT GLOBAL MODELS ARE NOW IN
AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 90W WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS AS IT TRACKS TO THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
MEDIUM.

图片:abpwsair.jpg

[炎煌深沉于2018-06-28 08:44编辑了帖子]
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ray790601
热带低压
热带低压
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6楼#
发布于:2018-06-28 10:20
JMA 強度升熱帶低壓

图片:18062809.png

图片:20180628.0140.himawari-8.ircolor.90W.INVEST.20kts.1004mb.19.6N.132.9E.100pc.jpg

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你知道我是誰
热带风暴
热带风暴
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7楼#
发布于:2018-06-28 12:02
SSD分析:TOO WEAK

TXPQ29 KNES 280008
TCSWNP
CCA

A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (90W)

B.  27/2030Z

C.  19.5N

D.  133.9E

E.  THREE/HIMAWARI-8

F. TOO WEAK G.  IR/EIR/VIS

H.  REMARKS...CORRECTED FOR POSITION AND INTENSITY. THIS ESTIMATE
WAS DERIVED USING 4 KM IR DATA. REANALYSIS BASED ON SUBSEQUENT VISIBLE
IMAGERY REVEALED THAT THE CENTER WAS WELL ENE OF THE PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED
POSITION. AS SUCH THE CENTER IS OVER 2 DEGREES FROM THE ASSOCIATED
CONVECTION MAKING THE DT LESS THAN 1.0. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL BULLETIN
UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.

I.  ADDL POSITIONS

    NIL


...TURK
[你知道我是誰于2018-06-28 12:05编辑了帖子]
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hnwfnhee
超强台风
超强台风
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8楼#
发布于:2018-06-28 13:58
生不逢时,刚遇到副高东土退期
来自温岭偏僻农村的野夫
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determinetch
热带风暴
热带风暴
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9楼#
发布于:2018-06-28 19:31
EC 預測又一個北移的...強度未必有大看頭。
另外,這裏很冷清啊... 這不是夏季應該有的現象吧...
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