tcfa_gw
论坛版主-副热带高压
论坛版主-副热带高压
  • 注册日期2012-04-02
  • 最后登录2018-07-23
  • 粉丝301
  • 关注101
  • 发帖数13030
  • 来自
阅读:257648回复:674

[值得关注]雷州半岛热带低压11W(TD09) - 迅速西行影响华南沿海,山神残余重返北部湾发展 - JMA:TD[W] - HKO/SMG:T1

楼主#
更多 发布于:2018-07-09 09:27
92W INVEST 180709 0000 6.0N 152.0E WPAC 15 1010

图片:20180709.0100.hm8.x.ir1km_bw.92WINVEST.15kts-1010mb-60N-1520E.100pc.jpg

[颱風巨爵于2018-07-23 15:45编辑了帖子]
4条评分, 金钱 +5 威望 +5
喜欢0 评分4
ただひとつの“今”を歌いつづける。
327
327
超强台风
超强台风
  • 注册日期2013-12-31
  • 最后登录2018-07-23
  • 粉丝101
  • 关注37
  • 发帖数2302
  • 来自
1楼#
发布于:2018-07-09 11:11
仅CMC/GEM明确支持发展并预报登陆浙江

图片:gem_mslp_uv850_wpac_fh84-240.gif


[327于2018-07-09 11:15编辑了帖子]
回复(0) 喜欢(1)     评分
东南风
热带低压
热带低压
  • 注册日期2016-10-03
  • 最后登录2018-07-23
  • 粉丝8
  • 关注3
  • 发帖数91
  • 来自
2楼#
发布于:2018-07-09 15:43
還沒發展起來就預報登錄點了,那不是差不多兩連擊啊
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
妹空酱
热带扰动
热带扰动
  • 注册日期2015-07-10
  • 最后登录2018-07-11
  • 粉丝0
  • 关注0
  • 发帖数9
  • 来自
3楼#
发布于:2018-07-11 09:57

1条评分, 威望 +10
  • tcfa_gw
    威望 10
    欢迎老人
    07-11 22:51
回复(0) 喜欢(1)     评分(1)
327
327
超强台风
超强台风
  • 注册日期2013-12-31
  • 最后登录2018-07-23
  • 粉丝101
  • 关注37
  • 发帖数2302
  • 来自
4楼#
发布于:2018-07-11 10:40
JMA:LPA
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 143E WNW SLOWLY.

图片:18071109.png

[327于2018-07-11 10:50编辑了帖子]
回复(0) 喜欢(1)     评分
红豆棒冰冰
强热带风暴
强热带风暴
  • 注册日期2017-10-28
  • 最后登录2018-07-23
  • 粉丝17
  • 关注21
  • 发帖数366
  • 来自
5楼#
发布于:2018-07-11 11:24
ABPW10 PGTW 110300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/110300Z-110600ZJUL2018//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110152ZJUL2018//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING. //
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 110000Z, TYPHOON 10W (MARIA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N
120.1E, APPROXIMATELY 109 NM NORTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, AND HAD
TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 110300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
10.5N 144.5E, APPROXIMATELY 165 NM SOUTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION BEGINNING
TO WRAP INTO A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION(LLC). THE UPPER LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT IS OVERALL FAVORABLE, WITH LOW (5-15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND ADEQUATE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW DUE TO A DEFINED POLEWARD
OUTFLOW CHANNEL. SSTS ARE WARM (28-29C) IN THE NWPAC AND WILL
SUPPORT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY FAVOR A
NORTHWEST TRAJECTORY AS THE STORM DEVELOPS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS,
BUT VARY IN TIMING AND INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 1. A. (1) WITH THE FINAL
WARNING INFORMATION FOR TYPHOON 10W AND ADDED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1)
AS LOW.//
NNNN

图片:abpwsair.jpg

[红豆棒冰冰于2018-07-11 12:14编辑了帖子]
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
謙神
强热带风暴
强热带风暴
  • 注册日期2010-08-02
  • 最后登录2018-07-23
  • 粉丝48
  • 关注50
  • 发帖数805
  • 来自
6楼#
发布于:2018-07-11 14:23
EC預測數天內移近巴士海峽一帶
回复(0) 喜欢(1)     评分
Mitch
强台风
强台风
  • 注册日期2013-11-14
  • 最后登录2018-07-23
  • 粉丝118
  • 关注0
  • 发帖数5381
  • 来自
7楼#
发布于:2018-07-11 14:43
数值看好往吕宋海峡南海移动,后期由于副高比较强路径分歧不大。
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
禾愛糖
超强台风
超强台风
  • 注册日期2012-11-05
  • 最后登录2018-07-23
  • 粉丝277
  • 关注120
  • 发帖数9889
  • 来自
8楼#
发布于:2018-07-11 15:17
EC這報是92W以TY強度登陸珠三。
Practice makes perfect.
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
歆中思语
强热带风暴
强热带风暴
  • 注册日期2012-06-25
  • 最后登录2018-07-23
  • 粉丝34
  • 关注6
  • 发帖数402
  • 来自
9楼#
发布于:2018-07-11 15:18
EC新报稳定西行登陆台山,后面好像还有一个
[歆中思语于2018-07-11 15:24编辑了帖子]
没有风的日子,我的世界一片沉寂。没有你的岁月,我的生活一片死灰。
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
上一页
游客

返回顶部