红豆棒冰冰
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[EP]墨西哥以西93E - 20.2N 107.7W - NHC:30%

楼主#
更多 发布于:2018-09-13 01:18
93E INVEST 180912 1200 19.3N 107.1W EPAC 20 1009

图片:20180912.1700.goes15.x.vis1km.93EINVEST.20kts-100.jpg


图片:two_pac_2d1.png

图片:two_pac_5d1.png



1. A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers
and thunderstorms extending several hundred miles west of the
west-central coast of Mexico.  Any significant organization of this
system is likely to be slow to occur while the system drifts
southwestward over the next couple of days before upper-level winds
become unfavorable for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
[颱風巨爵于2018-09-14 19:25编辑了帖子]
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    2018-09-13 01:53
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    2018-09-13 01:53
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红豆棒冰冰
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1楼#
发布于:2018-09-13 02:06
NHC:30%/40%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Sep 12 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in
association with a trough of low pressure located a couple of
hundred miles west of southwestern Mexico.  Although upper-level
winds are only marginally conducive, some development of this
system is possible over the next few days while the disturbance
moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is expected to develop well south of the
southwestern coast of Mexico by the weekend.  Thereafter,
environmental conditions appear conducive for some development, and
a tropical depression could form while the system moves generally
westward to west-northwestward south of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Blake

图片:two_pac_2d0.png


图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:two_pac_5d0.png


图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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2楼#
发布于:2018-09-13 18:33
NHC:20%/30%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Sep 12 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A broad area of low pressure, located about 150 miles
west-southwest of Cabo Corrientes, Mexico, is producing limited
shower and thunderstorm activity.  Although upper-level winds are
only marginally conducive, some development of this system is
possible over the next few days while the disturbance moves slowly
toward the west-southwest away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is expected to develop well south of the
southwestern coast of Mexico by the weekend.  Thereafter,
environmental conditions appear conducive for some development, and
a tropical depression could form while the system moves generally
westward to west-northwestward south of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Roberts

图片:two_pac_2d0.png


图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:two_pac_5d0.png


图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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feidele
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3楼#
发布于:2018-09-13 20:03
還有四個就到韦哥了。唉,最近才發現重名了。先看看能否生成
费德勒 伟大的运动员
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炎煌深沉
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4楼#
发布于:2018-09-13 20:20
NHC:10%/20%
1. A broad area of low pressure, located about 150 miles west-southwest
of Cabo Corrientes, Mexico, is producing limited shower and
thunderstorm activity.  This system has become less organized since
yesterday, and any development of this system should be slow to
occur over the next few days while the disturbance drifts
west-southwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

图片:two_pac_2d1.png

图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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5楼#
发布于:2018-09-14 12:49
NHC:10%/10%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Sep 13 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure
located a couple of hundred miles west-southwest of Cabo Corrientes,
Mexico, is diminishing.  Upper-level winds are not particularly
conducive, so any development of this system should be slow to occur
over the next few days while the disturbance drifts
west-southwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is expected to develop well south of the
southwestern coast of Mexico over the weekend.  Thereafter,
environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development,
and a tropical depression could form while the system moves
generally westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph south of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Beven

图片:two_pac_2d0.png


图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:two_pac_5d0.png


图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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6楼#
发布于:2018-09-14 17:06
NHC:0%/0%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Sep 13 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A weak area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized shower activity.  Significant development of this
system is not expected while it drifts west-southwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is expected to develop well south of the
southwestern coast of Mexico over the weekend.  Thereafter,
environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development,
and a tropical depression could form while the system moves
generally westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph south of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

图片:two_pac_2d0.png


图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:two_pac_5d0.png


图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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