933954
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中东太/北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖(2018年10-12月)

楼主#
更多 发布于:2018-10-01 14:38
1、为了方便管理和页面整洁、台风论坛继续坚持一扰动一追击帖的老规矩,在本帖所涉及海区无扰动下请在本帖跟帖讨论。不遵守者:删除或合并。    
2、当NRL升格扰动后,会员可重新开新的追击。    
3、因EC网站更新,本帖无法提供即时更新的EC预报产品,请前往各数值产品服务网站查询。1楼提供EC网站查询部分常用产品的方法。

北大西洋扰动位置直观图

东北太平洋及中太平洋扰动位置直观图


NHC热带系统监测图
北大西洋
2天内气旋形成机率




5天内气旋形成机率

东北太平洋
2天内气旋形成



5天内气旋形成机率


CPHC热带系统监测图
中北太平洋
2天内气旋形成



5天内气旋形成机率

涡度图




[933954于2018-10-01 14:45编辑了帖子]
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meow
世纪风王
世纪风王
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1楼#
发布于:2018-10-16 17:02
5天内形成(未来的Vicente)机会高达90%。

图片:two_pac_5d2.png


2. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a couple of hundred
miles south of Guatemala and the southeastern coast of Mexico by
late Wednesday.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by the end of the week while the system moves west-
northwestward near the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Meow, a sex-starved pussy, gets aroused when everyone at the pool stares at her white and soaked up swimsuit turning see-through and exposing her tempting body.
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炎煌深沉
台风
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2楼#
发布于:2018-11-25 17:18
SSD:T1.0
TXPZ27 KNES 250622
TCSENP
A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
B.  25/0600Z
C.  8.9N
D.  116.9W
E.  FIVE/GOES-W
F.  T1.0/1.0/D1.0/24HRS
G.  IR/EIR/SWIR
H.  REMARKS...POSITION BASED ON CSC. GT 0.2 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF
1.0. MET AND PT ARE 1.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    NIL

...RAMIREZ

图片:avn-animated.gif

图片:bd-animated.gif

[炎煌深沉于2018-11-25 17:36编辑了帖子]
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933954
台风
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3楼#
发布于:2018-11-30 14:05
东太平洋、中北太平洋以及北大西洋18年风季即将结束
CPHC:
ACPN50 PHFO 300535
TWOCP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 PM HST Thu Nov 29 2018
For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:
No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days.
The central North Pacific hurricane season officially ends on
November 30. The final Tropical Weather Outlook of the season will
be issued at 8 PM on November 30. We will resume issuing outlooks
starting on June 1 of 2019.
$$
Forecaster Lau

NHC:
①东北太平洋:
暂无
②北大西洋:
暂无
[933954于2018-11-30 14:12编辑了帖子]
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933954
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4楼#
发布于:2018-12-01 07:38
晚安中太,晚安东太,晚安北大~
ABNT20 KNHC 302336
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Fri Nov 30 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season.  Routine issuance of the
Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2019.  During the
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
conditions warrant.
$$
Forecaster Beven

ABPZ20 KNHC 010503
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Fri Nov 30 2018
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
the 2018 eastern North Pacific hurricane season. Routine issuance
of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2019.
During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be
issued as conditions warrant.
$$
Forecaster Beven

ACPN50 PHFO 010540
TWOCP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 PM HST Fri Nov 30 2018
For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:
No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
the 2018 central North Pacific hurricane season. Routine issuance
of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2019. During
the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
conditions warrant.
$$
Forecaster Jelsema
[933954于2018-12-01 14:05编辑了帖子]
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