颱風巨爵
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[EP]危地马拉以南97E - 13.1N 88.6W - NHC:30%

楼主#
更多 发布于:2018-10-05 07:07
97E INVEST 181004 1800 11.1N 86.7W EPAC 20 1005

图片:20181004.2059.f16.vis.olsviscomp.97E.INVEST.x.jpg


图片:two_pac_2d1.png

图片:two_pac_5d1.png



1. A broad area of low pressure located offshore of the coast of
southern Nicaragua continues to produce a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is
possible if it remains offshore during the next several days while
it drifts northwestward near Central America. Regardless of
development, heavy rains could cause flash floods and mudslides in
mountainous areas of western Costa Rica, Nicaragua, Honduras, El
Salvador, and Guatemala through early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
[颱風巨爵于2018-10-07 07:19编辑了帖子]
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Society is dead, long live society!
是誰令青山也變,變了俗氣的嘴臉?又是誰令碧海也變,變作濁流滔天?
【特輯】 淺談JTWC和預報理由
红豆棒冰冰
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1楼#
发布于:2018-10-06 03:16
NHC:30%/30%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 5 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Sergio, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. The broad area of low pressure located offshore of the Pacific coast
of southern Nicaragua has become a little better defined during
the past several hours.  This system is expected to drift northward
or northwestward over the weekend, and gradual development is
possible before it moves onshore the coast of Central America.
Regardless of development, heavy rains could cause flash floods and
mudslides in mountainous areas of western Costa Rica, Nicaragua,
Honduras, El Salvador, and Guatemala through early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Roberts

图片:two_pac_2d0.png


图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:two_pac_5d0.png


图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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炎煌深沉
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2楼#
发布于:2018-10-06 14:03
NHC:20%/20%
1. An area of low pressure located just offshore from El Salvador is
producing a cluster of showers and thunderstorms that extend along
and just off the coast from Guatemala to Nicaragua.  This system is
expected to drift northward and move inland over Central America
later today, which will end the opportunity for tropical cyclone
formation.  Regardless of development, heavy rains will continue
across western Costa Rica, Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, and
Guatemala through early next week, resulting in flash floods and
mudslides in mountainous areas of those countries.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

图片:two_pac_2d1.png

图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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红豆棒冰冰
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3楼#
发布于:2018-10-06 20:20
NHC:10%/10%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Oct 6 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Sergio, located a little more than 1000 miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
along the coast of Central America extend from Guatemala to
Nicaragua.  Recent satellite imagery and ship observations indicate
that the disturbance has not become any better organized since
yesterday, and close proximity to land is expected to limit the
potential for tropical cyclone formation.  However, heavy rains will
continue across western Costa Rica, Nicaragua, Honduras, El
Salvador, and Guatemala through early next week, resulting in flash
floods and mudslides in mountainous areas of those countries.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky

图片:two_pac_2d0.png


图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:two_pac_5d0.png


图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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