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[EP]墨西哥以南92E - 11.0N 110.1W - NHC:60%

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更多 发布于:2018-10-27 20:47
EP, 92, 2018102712,   , BEST,   0, 105N,  995W,  25, 1008, LO

图片:20181027.1200.goes-16.ir.92E.INVEST.25kts.1008mb.10.5N.99.5W.100pc.jpg


图片:92E.png


图片:92E-5days.png



1. A well-defined low pressure system located several hundred miles
south of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing a small but concentrated
area of thunderstorm activity near the center.  Environmental
conditions could become more conducive for some development of
this system over the next few days while it moves westward at
about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...40 percent.
[颱風巨爵于2018-11-01 00:10编辑了帖子]
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红豆棒冰冰
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1楼#
发布于:2018-10-28 20:02
NHC:40%/40%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Oct 28 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a small well-defined low
pressure system located several hundred miles south-southwest of
Acapulco, Mexico have increased during the past few hours. Some
additional development of this system is possible and a tropical
depression could form during the next couple of days while it moves
westward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

2. An area of low pressure located about 1000 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
limited shower activity. Some slow development of this system is
possible over the next several days while the low moves toward the
west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky

图片:two_pac_2d0.png


图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:two_pac_5d0.png


图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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红豆棒冰冰
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2楼#
发布于:2018-10-29 02:05
NHC:60%/60%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Oct 28 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a small but well-defined
low pressure system located several hundred miles south-southwest of
Acapulco, Mexico, are showing signs of organization. Some additional
development of the disturbance is possible and a tropical depression
could form during the next couple of days while it moves westward at
about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. An area of low pressure located about 1000 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce limited shower activity.  Some slow development of this
system is possible over the next several days while the low moves
toward the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Stewart

图片:two_pac_2d0.png


图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:two_pac_5d0.png


图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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3楼#
发布于:2018-10-29 10:23
NHC:50%/60%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Oct 28 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Satellite data indicate that a low pressure area located several
hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, has become elongated
since yesterday, with less organization of its thunderstorm
activity.  However, upper-level winds are still marginally
conducive, and a tropical depression could form during the next
couple of days while it moves westward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. An area of low pressure located about 1100 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce disorganized shower activity.  Some slow development of this
system is possible over the next several days while the low moves
toward the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Blake

图片:two_pac_2d0.png


图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:two_pac_5d0.png


图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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4楼#
发布于:2018-10-30 02:00
NHC:20%/40%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Oct 29 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. An elongated area of low pressure located about 800 miles south
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become
less organized over the past 24 hours. Some slow development of this
system is still possible during the next several days while the
system moves westward or west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

2. A well-defined low pressure system located about 1100 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Some slow development of this system is possible over the next few
days while the low moves toward the west or west-northwest at about
10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky

图片:two_pac_2d0.png


图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:two_pac_5d0.png


图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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红豆棒冰冰
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5楼#
发布于:2018-10-30 12:51
NHC:10%/30%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Oct 29 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. An elongated area of low pressure located about 800 miles south
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become
less organized over the past 24 hours.  Environmental conditions are
marginally conducive, and any development of this system should be
slow to occur over the next several days while it moves westward
or west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. Satellite wind data indicate that the circulation associated with
an area of low pressure located about 1175 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become
elongated.  However, some slow development of this system is
possible over the next few days while the disturbance moves toward
the west or west-northwest at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Brown

图片:two_pac_2d0.png


图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:two_pac_5d0.png


图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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6楼#
发布于:2018-10-30 16:20
NHC:10%/20%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Oct 29 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A weak area of low pressure located about 800 miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become less
organized over the past 24 hours.  Development of this system is
becoming less likely while it moves westward or west-northwestward
at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. An elongated area of low pressure located about 1200 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Some slow
development of this system is possible over the next few days while
the disturbance moves toward the west or west-northwest at about 10
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Pasch

图片:two_pac_2d0.png


图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:two_pac_5d0.png


图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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7楼#
发布于:2018-10-31 00:43
NHC:10%/10%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Oct 30 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a weak area of low
pressure located about 800 miles south-southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula remain disorganized.  Significant
development of this system is not expected while it moves westward
or west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. An elongated area of low pressure located about 1200 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Some slow development of
this system is possible over the next few days while the disturbance
moves toward the west or west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

3. A third area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles
south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system through the
weekend while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Berg

图片:two_pac_2d0.png


图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:two_pac_5d0.png


图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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红豆棒冰冰
台风
台风
  • 注册日期2017-10-28
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8楼#
发布于:2018-10-31 01:54
NHC:0%/10%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Oct 30 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A weak area of low pressure located about 800 miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system,
if any, is likely to be slow to occur while it moves westward or
west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. An elongated area of low pressure is producing showers and
thunderstorms over a broad area about 1200 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some slow development
of this system is possible over the next few days while the
disturbance moves toward the west or west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

3. A third area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles
south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico.  Environmental conditions
are forecast to support gradual development of this system through
the weekend while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky

图片:two_pac_2d0.png


图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:two_pac_5d0.png


图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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