颱風巨爵
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[EP]东太平洋92E - 14.5N 119.2W - NHC:30%

楼主#
更多 发布于:2018-11-02 02:18
92E INVEST 181101 1800  11.5N  119.6W EPAC   25   NA

图片:20181101.1745.goes-16.vis.2km.92E.INVEST.25kts.1009mb.11.5N.119.6W.pc.jpg


图片:two_pac_2d3.png

图片:two_pac_5d3.png



3. An area of disturbed weather is located about 1000 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  Some
development of this system is possible, although it could be limited
due to the proximity of the disturbance to the east.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.


消失的95E......
EP, 92, 2018103112,   , BEST,   0, 108N, 1171W,  20,    0, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0, GENESIS043,  ,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 043,
EP, 92, 2018103118,   , BEST,   0, 109N, 1176W,  20,    0, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0, GENESIS043,  ,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 043, SPAWNINVEST, ep792018 to ep922018,
EP, 92, 2018110100,   , BEST,   0, 110N, 1181W,  20,    0, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0, GENESIS043,  ,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 043, SPAWNINVEST, ep792018 to ep922018,
EP, 92, 2018110106,   , BEST,   0, 111N, 1186W,  20,    0, DB,   0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,    0,   0,   0,   0,    ,   0,    ,   0,   0, GENESIS043,  ,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 043, SPAWNINVEST, ep792018 to ep922018,
EP, 92, 2018110112,   , BEST,   0, 113N, 1191W,  20, 1009, DB,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1010,  180,  90,   0,   0,   E,   0,    ,   0,   0,     INVEST, S,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 043, SPAWNINVEST, ep792018 to ep922018,
[颱風巨爵于2018-11-07 07:47编辑了帖子]
2条评分, 金钱 +3 威望 +3
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    92E
    11-02 07:00
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    11-02 07:00
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Society is dead, long live society!
是誰令青山也變,變了俗氣的嘴臉?又是誰令碧海也變,變作濁流滔天?
【特輯】 淺談JTWC和預報理由
红豆棒冰冰
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1楼#
发布于:2018-11-03 12:32
NHC:30%/40%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Nov 2 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Twenty-Five-E, located several hundred miles
southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.

1. An area of disturbed weather is located about 1000 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some
development of this system is possible during the next few days
while it moves slowly northward or northeastward. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for further
development by early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty-Five-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty-Five-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

Forecaster Zelinsky

图片:two_pac_2d0.png


图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:two_pac_5d0.png


图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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红豆棒冰冰
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2楼#
发布于:2018-11-04 03:11
NHC:20%/30%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Nov 3 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Xavier, located several hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo,
Mexico.

1. An area of disorganized cloudiness and showers is located about
1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.  Some slow development of this system is possible during
the next day or two while it moves slowly northward or
northeastward. Environmental conditions are forecast to become
unfavorable for further development by Monday or Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Xavier are issued under WMO
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Xavier are issued under WMO
header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

Forecaster Beven

图片:two_pac_2d0.png


图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:two_pac_5d0.png


图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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红豆棒冰冰
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3楼#
发布于:2018-11-04 13:27
NHC:20%/20%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Nov 3 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Xavier, located several hundred miles south-southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico.

1. An elongated trough of low pressure located about 1000 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow
development of this system is possible during the next day or two
while it drifts northward or northeastward. Environmental conditions
are forecast to become unfavorable for further development by Monday
or Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky

图片:two_pac_2d0.png


图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:two_pac_5d0.png


图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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4楼#
发布于:2018-11-04 20:07
NHC:10%/10%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
400 AM PST Sun Nov 4 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Xavier, located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest
of Manzanillo, Mexico.

1. An elongated trough of low pressure located about 900 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Upper-level
winds are becoming less favorable, and significant development of
this system is not expected while it drifts northward and then
northwestward during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Berg

图片:two_pac_2d0.png


图片:two_pac_2d1.png


图片:two_pac_5d0.png


图片:two_pac_5d1.png

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