933954
台风
台风
  • 注册日期2013-12-07
  • 最后登录2018-11-18
  • 粉丝45
  • 关注25
  • 发帖数832
  • 来自
阅读:28928回复:100

[值得关注]棉兰老岛以东热带低压33W - 中太不远万里而来,菲东发展走上正轨,未来将登菲进南海 - JMA:GW

楼主#
更多 发布于:2018-11-03 10:55
98C INVEST 181103 0000 7.6N 159.8W CPAC 20 1007

图片:20181103.0250.himawari-8.vis.98C.INVEST.20kts.1007mb.7.6N.159.8W.100pc.jpg


图片:98C2d1.png

图片:98C 5d.png



Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure is
located about 1000 miles south of Honolulu. Some subsequent
development of this system is possible over the next few days as it
moves slowly westward.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
*Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent
[327于2018-11-18 22:00编辑了帖子]
4条评分, 金钱 +5 威望 +5
  • 颱風巨爵
    威望 2
    進入西太
    11-07 09:38
  • 颱風巨爵
    金钱 2
    進入西太
    11-07 09:38
  • 327
    威望 3
    98C
    11-03 11:00
  • 327
    金钱 3
    98C
    11-03 11:00
喜欢2 评分4

最新喜欢:

红豆棒冰冰红豆棒冰冰 qqqwwweeerrrasqqqwww...
梦幻粉影
热带低压-GW
热带低压-GW
  • 注册日期2016-01-31
  • 最后登录2018-11-18
  • 粉丝11
  • 关注2
  • 发帖数110
  • 来自
1楼#
发布于:2018-11-03 12:10
CMC系集有成员支持超级平西

图片:98C_geps_12z.png

[颱風巨爵于2018-11-03 23:47编辑了帖子]
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
联合rdy
热带扰动
热带扰动
  • 注册日期2018-08-05
  • 最后登录2018-11-20
  • 粉丝0
  • 关注0
  • 发帖数6
  • 来自
2楼#
发布于:2018-11-03 12:19
CPHC:0%/10%
ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
200 PM HST Fri Nov 2 2018

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure is
located about 1000 miles south of Honolulu. Some subsequent
development of this system is possible over the next few days as it
moves slowly westward.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
*Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days.

Forecaster Foster
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
feidele
强台风
强台风
  • 注册日期2015-03-21
  • 最后登录2018-11-20
  • 粉丝103
  • 关注47
  • 发帖数2322
  • 来自
3楼#
发布于:2018-11-03 14:57
11月的中太還是太惡劣了
费德勒 伟大的运动员
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
三旋共舞
强热带风暴
强热带风暴
  • 注册日期2016-02-08
  • 最后登录2018-11-20
  • 粉丝9
  • 关注11
  • 发帖数319
  • 来自
4楼#
发布于:2018-11-03 20:01
CPHC:10%/10%
ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
200 AM HST Sat Nov 3 2018

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure is
located about 1000 miles south-southwest of Honolulu. Some
subsequent development of this system is possible, while it slowly
moves westward over the next few days.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
*Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days.

Forecaster Kino

图片:two_cpac_2d1.png

[三旋共舞于2018-11-03 20:04编辑了帖子]
龙吟恨,且回首,却在灯火阑珊。
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
933954
台风
台风
  • 注册日期2013-12-07
  • 最后登录2018-11-18
  • 粉丝45
  • 关注25
  • 发帖数832
  • 来自
5楼#
发布于:2018-11-03 20:39
CPHC分析出T1.5,SSD分析出T1.0
CPHC:
TXPN41 PHFO 031211
TCSNP1
CENTRAL PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1154 UTC SAT NOV 03 2018
A. INVEST 98C CP982018
B. 03/1130Z
C. 8.4N
D. 161.9W
E. HIMAWARI
F. T1.5/1.5/D0.5/6HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...0.25 WRAP ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDS A DT OF 1.5. PATTERN
T IS 1.5. MET IS UNAVAILABLE. FINAL T BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NONE.
$$
KINO
SSD:
Unnamed 98C T1.0/1.0 03/1130Z Central Pacific
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
红豆棒冰冰
台风
台风
  • 注册日期2017-10-28
  • 最后登录2018-11-20
  • 粉丝41
  • 关注39
  • 发帖数1567
  • 来自
6楼#
发布于:2018-11-03 23:37
SSD和JTWC相继分析出T1.0
TXPN22 KNES 031231
TCSCNP
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (98C)
B. 03/1130Z
C. 8.1N
D. 161.3W
E. FIVE/GOES-W
F. T1.0/1.0/D1.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...LARGER THAN 2/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 1.0. MET AND
PT ARE 1.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
 NIL
...ZHU

TPPZ01 PGTW 031517
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 98C (SW OF HAWAII)
B. 03/1431Z
C. 8.21N
D. 162.42W
E. FIVE/GOES15
F. T1.0/1.0/INIT OBS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 47A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .25 ON
LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 1.0. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
 LOWE

图片:swir_lalo-animated.gif

图片:bd_lalo-animated.gif

[颱風巨爵于2018-11-03 23:54编辑了帖子]
欢迎加入百度百科地理组台风编辑小组,QQ群号码:692323623
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
红豆棒冰冰
台风
台风
  • 注册日期2017-10-28
  • 最后登录2018-11-20
  • 粉丝41
  • 关注39
  • 发帖数1567
  • 来自
7楼#
发布于:2018-11-04 18:31
CPHC:10%/20%
ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 PM HST Sat Nov 3 2018

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

1. An area of low pressure about 1000 miles southwest of Honolulu,
Hawaii is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, mainly
to the east of the center. Environmental conditions are not
expected to be conducive for additional development over the next
couple of days as the the system moves toward the west near 10
mph.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
*Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next
5 days.

Forecaster Birchard

图片:two_cpac_2d0.png


图片:two_cpac_2d1.png


图片:two_cpac_5d0.png


图片:two_cpac_5d1.png

欢迎加入百度百科地理组台风编辑小组,QQ群号码:692323623
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
红豆棒冰冰
台风
台风
  • 注册日期2017-10-28
  • 最后登录2018-11-20
  • 粉丝41
  • 关注39
  • 发帖数1567
  • 来自
8楼#
发布于:2018-11-04 20:11
CPHC:0%/10%
ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
200 AM HST Sun Nov 4 2018

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of
low pressure about 1100 miles southwest of Hawaii have recently
diminished in coverage. Environmental conditions are not expected to
be conducive for additional development over the next couple of days
as the system moves toward the west at 10 to 15 mph.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
*Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next
5 days.

Forecaster Birchard

图片:two_cpac_2d0.png


图片:two_cpac_2d1.png


图片:two_cpac_5d0.png


图片:two_cpac_5d1.png

欢迎加入百度百科地理组台风编辑小组,QQ群号码:692323623
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
婉音Gwanwyn
热带扰动
热带扰动
  • 注册日期2018-10-06
  • 最后登录2018-11-19
  • 粉丝4
  • 关注3
  • 发帖数13
  • 来自
9楼#
发布于:2018-11-05 12:14
EC和GFS在换日线处有微弱反应,但移入西太后就逐渐消散。不过最新GFS预报显示8-10天后南海可能有成熟热带气旋活动并影响中南半岛。
回复(0) 喜欢(0)     评分
上一页
游客

返回顶部