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[北太平洋]阿拉斯加西南炸弹低气压NP33-0126 JMA:SW MAX:952hPa 60KT OPC:HURCN FORCE 65KT 停滞减弱

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更多 发布于:2019-01-25 12:05
EC报出28日左右有一个940hPa左右的系统

图片:360截图17290513084353.png


系统已经在日本海中酝酿了

图片:360截图16800413505171.png

[tcfa_gw于2019-02-10 11:51编辑了帖子]
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wwwawa
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发布于:2019-01-25 17:00
LOW 1014 HPA AT 37N 133E EAST 15 KT.

图片:ASAS_COLOR_201901250600.png


图片:201901250850-00.png

[wwwawa于2019-01-25 17:02编辑了帖子]
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发布于:2019-01-26 11:47
JMA:SW 1004hPa 30 to 40KT 预计60KT

图片:ASAS_COLOR_201901260000.png



STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA
AT 36N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 1000 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 18 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 35N 145E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 35N 151E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 33N 143E
MOVING ENE 20 KNOTS.
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发布于:2019-01-26 11:52
...STORM WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 36N149E 979 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM
30N TO 40N W OF 165E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MEAN CENTER NEAR 43N166E 960
MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM E OF A LINE FROM 46N167E
TO 33N173E AND W AND SW OF A LINE FROM 46N163E TO 37N164E TO
37N167E WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 30 TO 38 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 30N
TO 51N W OF 179E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 25 FT.

图片:201901260340-00.png

[wwwawa于2019-01-26 11:55编辑了帖子]
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发布于:2019-01-26 11:59

图片:29.phase1.png

图片:29.phase2.png

图片:29.track.png

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发布于:2019-01-27 11:54

图片:P_sfc_full_ocean_color.png



NP33-0126(I)OPC:HURCN FORCE 976mb
NP33-0126(II)OPC:DVLPG HURCN FORCE 982mb

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER JUST E OF AREA 39N159E 982 MB
MOVING NE 20 KT AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING. OVER FORECAST WATERS
WITHIN 420 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM NE AND 780 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO
40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N167E 954 MB. WITHIN 600 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 300 NM NE AND E OF A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM
LOW CENTER TO 41N176E TO 30N176E WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 19 TO
40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 900 NM SW SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 480 NM
NE AND E OF THE FRONT WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 25 FT. ALSO
FROM 30N TO 54N W OF 175W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N173E 958 MB. WITHIN 660 NM S AND 720 NM
N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 17 TO 43 FT...HIGHEST S
SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM NE...1320 NM SE...1500 NM
SW...AND 540 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 18 FT.
[wwwawa于2019-01-27 12:15编辑了帖子]
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发布于:2019-01-27 11:55

图片:19012709.png


NP33-0126(I) JMA:SW 60KT 预计60KT 972hPa
NP33-0126(II)JMA: 980hPa
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 36N 152E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS.
WINDS
30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 41N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 45N 166E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.

ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 38N 158E MOVING NE 30 KNOTS.
[wwwawa于2019-01-27 12:17编辑了帖子]
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发布于:2019-01-27 18:42

图片:SPAS_COLOR_201901270600.png



STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA
AT 37N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NE 40 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 44N 165E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 46N 168E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 130
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 40N 160E
MOVING NE 20 KNOTS.
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发布于:2019-01-27 18:45

图片:P_sfc_full_ocean_color (1).png



...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 40N161E 975 MB MOVING NE 15 KT.
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 540 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 45 TO 60 KT.
SEAS 16 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM NE AND 660 NM SW
QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT. ALSO FROM 30N TO
48N W OF 177E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 17 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N167E 954 MB. WITHIN 600 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 300 NM NE AND E OF A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM
LOW CENTER TO 41N176E TO 30N176E WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 19 TO
42 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N169E 954 MB. WITHIN 600 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 360 NM NE AND E OF A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM
LOW CENTER TO 45N178E TO 33N179W WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 22 TO
43 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 660 NM S...540 NM W...660 NM N...AND
1080 NM E QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT. ALSO
FROM 30N TO 56N W OF 171W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N173E 960 MB. WITHIN 660 NM SE AND 600
NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS 22 TO 38 FT...HIGHEST SE
QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 840 NM S AND N...AND WITHIN 720 NM W
AND E QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 26 FT. ALSO FROM
30N TO 60N W OF 156W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 17 FT.
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发布于:2019-01-28 11:51

图片:ASAS_COLOR_201901280000.png



STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 952 HPA
AT 44N 166E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NE 15 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 166E TO 45N 172E 43N 176E.
WARM FRONT FROM 43N 176E TO 40N 180E 37N 178W.
COLD FRONT FROM 43N 176E TO 37N 177E 31N 172E.
WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST
SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 6 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 46N 169E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 48N 173E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 962 HPA AT 42N 170E
MOVING NE 25 KNOTS.
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