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[命名气旋]勘察加半岛东南蒙古气旋Nebula(NP34-0127) JMA:SW MAX:948hPa 60KT OPC:HURCN FORCE 65KT 出海发展

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更多 发布于:2019-01-27 12:24

图片:19012709.png



GALE WARNING.
NEW LOW
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 43N 136E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS MOVING ENE 20 KNOTS.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH
SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 24 HOURS.

图片:360截图17001028085917.png




依照相关版规 命名Nebula

图片:360截图1707011992127106.png


北海道えりも岬录得持续风20.2m/s 阵风28.1m/s
[炎煌深沉于2019-02-14 09:21编辑了帖子]
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wwwawa
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1楼#
发布于:2019-01-27 12:28

图片:SEVP_NMC_STFC_SFER_ER24_ACHN_L88_P9_20190127070002400.jpg

转载NMC的预报

二、全国天气预报28日起强冷空气将自西向东影响我国。预计27日,受冷空气影响,华北、东北地区等地有4~6级偏北风,阵风风力可达7~8级,内蒙古中东部、河北北部、辽宁西部等局地可能出现沙尘天气。28日至29日,强冷空气影响新疆大部,将带来4~8℃降温,部分地区降温幅度10~14℃,并伴有4~6级偏北风,风口风力可达9~11级;30日至2月1日冷空气将继续影响西北地区东部和中东部大部地区。

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2楼#
发布于:2019-01-27 12:36

图片:31.phase1.png

图片:31.phase2.png

图片:31.track.png

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3楼#
发布于:2019-01-28 11:53

图片:ASAS_COLOR_201901280000.png



GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA
AT 43N 138E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 43N 138E TO 41N 141E 39N 143E.
COLD FRONT FROM 43N 138E TO 39N 138E 36N 132E.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300
MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 12 HOURS.
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4楼#
发布于:2019-01-28 12:05
系统正在影响日本

图片:201901280350-00.png

图片:201901281200-00.png

图片:201901281250-01.png

图片:201901281300-00.png

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5楼#
发布于:2019-01-28 17:09

图片:P_sfc_full_ocean_color.png



...STORM WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N163E 982 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM
30N TO 35N W OF 162E AND WITHIN 120 NM E OF A FRONT TO EXTEND
FROM 42N167E TO 36N167E TO 31N165E WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO
28 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 30N TO 44N W OF 175E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT.
SEAS 12 TO 22 FT.
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6楼#
发布于:2019-01-28 17:17

图片:ASAS_COLOR_201901280600.png


图片:wgmsvor.GIF



STORM WARNING.
NEW LOW
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 39N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 24 HOURS.


GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA
AT 43N 139E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 139E TO 43N 141E 42N 141E.
WARM FRONT FROM 42N 141E TO 41N 143E 39N 144E.
COLD FRONT FROM 42N 141E TO 39N 141E 35N 133E.
WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300
MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH
SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 6 HOURS.

JMA认为将有一个新系统生成 从涡度图判断可能是地形诱发的新中心
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7楼#
发布于:2019-01-29 11:49

图片:ASAS_COLOR_201901290000.png


STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA
AT 39N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 150E TO 39N 151E 38N 152E.
WARM FRONT FROM 38N 152E TO 36N 154E 34N 155E.
COLD FRONT FROM 38N 152E TO 34N 150E 31N 146E 29N 141E.
WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND
500 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 12 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 39N 158E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 41N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 144E
MOVING SE 15 KNOTS.
[wwwawa于2019-01-29 12:37编辑了帖子]
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8楼#
发布于:2019-01-30 12:00

图片:ASAS_COLOR_201901300000.png



STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA
AT 39N 162E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NE 20 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 950 MILES OF LOW.
EXPECTED WINDS
30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH
SEMICIRCLE AND 950 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 18 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 43N 166E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 49N 168E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 40N 164E
MOVING NNE 20 KNOTS.
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9楼#
发布于:2019-01-30 12:57
OPC:DVLPG HURCN FORCE 预计65KT 948mb

图片:P_sfc_full_ocean_color.png



...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 40N162E 982 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN
120 NM NW QUADRANT AND 180 NM E OF A FRONT FROM 41N165E TO
32N163E WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 25 KT. ELSEWHERE FROM 30N
TO 43N W OF 175E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N170E 964 MB. FRONT TO EXTEND FROM THE
LOW TO 42N180W TO 35N177W TO 30N180W. WITHIN 180 NE OF THE FRONT
FROM 36N TO 42N WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 22 TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE
BETWEEN 600 NM AND 780 NM SE AND 300 NM AND 840 NM SW QUADRANTS
AND WITHIN 240 NM NE AND E OF THE FRONT N OF 33N WINDS 40 TO 50
KT. SEAS 18 TO 33 FT...HIGHEST NEAR 34N167E. ALSO WITHIN 600 NM
NE...1500 NM SE...1080 NM SW...AND 300 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25
TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 52N163E 948 MB. WITHIN 540
NM SE AND 480 NM S QUADRANTS AND FROM 56N TO 59N W OF 173W WINDS
40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 960 NM NE...1140
NM SE...AND 660 NM S QUADRANTS AND WITHIN 240 NM NE AND E OF A
FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 52N169W TO 49N166W TO 32N169W WINDS 25 TO
40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT.
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