loppyname 发表于 2013-8-17 10:33

已翻译信息表:
报数         时间            翻译情况          翻译者         楼层
TCFA       16/2030Z         已翻译         唐明皇1         01L
#01      17/0000Z          已翻译          loppyname      02L
#02      17/0600Z         已翻译          loppyname      03L
#03      17/1200Z         已翻译          loppyname      04L
#04(FW)    17/1800Z          无需翻译            -            -

翻译统计:
         唐明皇1         loppyname
         
         
         
   1   3
         
         
         

说明:
1、由于该热带系统未来发展态势良好,且可能影响我国,所以特开此贴。
2、本贴翻译JTWC报文,时间以協調世界時的作准。
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发报时定位,过去的移动速度、结构、强度、环境场,未来的强度、路径、环境场,数值的预测。
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加分规则:为鼓励翻译,对翻译贴加分可适当宽松。
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唐明皇1 发表于 2013-8-17 11:39

TCFA


原文:

WTPN22 PGTW 162030
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/161951Z AUG 13//
AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 162000)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 25.0N 131.7E TO 27.0N 126.0E
WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 161632Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 25.2N 131.0E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24.4N
131.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 131.0E, APPROXIMATELY 188 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AIR BASE, OKINAWA. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION (LLCC) WITH AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION
DISPLACED NORTH OF THE LLCC. A 161717Z AMSU-B MICROWAVE IMAGE
REVEALS DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING ALONG THE NORTHERN SEMI-
CIRCLE INTO THE LLCC. A 16/19Z NEARBY SHIP REPORT INDICATED 23 KNOT
WINDS AT 1002 MB. RECENT SCATTEROMETRY PASSES INDICATE AN IMPROVING
LLCC WITH 20 TO 25 KNOT WIND BARBS WRAPPING AROUND THE SYSTEM FROM
THE NORTH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
WITH STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND LOW (5 TO 10 KNOTS) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO
23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002
MB. DUE TO THE INCREASED CONSOLIDATION OF THE LLCC, THE POTENTIAL
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
172030Z.
4. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT
LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 123.6E
//
NNNN
中文:
1.重大的气旋预报在未来6—24小时对140英里内从25.0N 131.7E 到 27.0N 126.0E有效。这时有效的数据并不证明对发布热带气旋警告有效。
在这片区域内的风力大概在18—23节,METSAT图像标示底层中心大概在25.2N 131.0E.系统以9海里/时的速度向北北西方向移动
2.原先在24.4N 131.4N的中心现在移动到了25.2N 131.0E,大致在嘉手纳空军基地东南188NM处。最近的红外卫星图像描述了在LLCC的庞大区域内有深对流向北移动。一份微波扫描揭露了深对流被卷入了北方的LLCC。在16日19UTC,附近的船只报告附近风力在23KT,气压大致在1002MB。风场散射扫描仪表示在系统北部周围有20—25KT的风力。上层分析显示出了一个良好的流出和较低的风切(约5—10KT)预计最大的风力约在18—23KT,最低的气压大致在1002MB。在预报时效内,随着LLCC的不断增强巩固,对其能发展为热带气旋的可能的信心高。

3.这个警告将会再次发出,升级为警告或取消在172030Z

loppyname 发表于 2013-8-17 12:50

【#01】08.17-00Z

1、供气象专业人士使用
2、6小时概况与分析
热带低压(TD)13W 目前位于嘉手纳空军基地(Kadena AB)东北偏东约 132海里(~240公里),过往六小时以时速 19海里(35公里)向西北偏北移动。多频卫星图像(MSI)动画显示系统紧密,中心对流建立情况在过去十二小时变得明显。17日0146Z的 TRMM 37GHZ 微波扫描显示低层环流中心(LLCC)北半圆拥有一紧密旋臂。目前定位基于以上提及的卫星云图,定位信心中等。目前强度估测为 25KT,基于 PGTW 和 RJTD 的德法强度估计,还有系统的发展结构。高空分析显示系统正身处于一个良好环境,包括低至中等(5-15节)的垂直风切变(VWS),已经良好的赤向流出。13W 正沿位于其东北面的底至中层副热带高压(STR)西南侧向西北偏北移动。
3. 预报理由
A 这是第一报,并为系统设立预报理由。
B. 预料 13W 会继续沿副热带高压(STR)边沿向西北或西移动,直至 36小时后直接气旋互动(DCI)情况会成为引导 13W 的主要因素,并预料 13W 会沿 12W 旋绕。预料 13W 将在短期预报时段里缓慢增强,并能够在稍好的环境里(暖海温,低至中等风切,良好流出)在 72小时后达致 45海里的强度。
C. 在延伸其预报里,预料 13W 会与 12W 相互影响,并在 120小时后之前合并。预料未来五天,两者皆会缓慢增强至台风强度。基于直接气旋互动(DCI)的不确定性和与 12W 的距离,数值模式对预报路径有分歧;所以我们对预测信心度低。此外,由于预期互旋情况将会发生,预料数值模式难以对于未来路径和强度预测保持一致。
WDPN33 PGTW 170300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN)
WARNING NR 01//
RMKS//
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 132 NM
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A COMPACT SYSTEM, WITH BUILDING CENTRAL
CONVECTION THAT HAS BECOME MORE DEFINED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A
RECENT 0146Z TRMM 37GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A COMPACT FORMATIVE
CONVECTIVE BANDING FEATURE ALONG THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED UPON THE
AFOREMENTIONED SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE.THE INITIAL
INTENSITY HAS BEEN ASSESSED AT 25 KNOTS BASED UPON DVORAK INTENSITY
ESTIMATES OF THE SAME VALUE FROM PGTW AND RJTD AND THE BUILDING
STRUCTURE OF THE SYSTEM. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS AN OVERALL
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF LOW TO MODERATE (05-15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS) AND FAVORABLE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. TD 13W IS CURRENTLY
TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWEST ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW
TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE (STR) NORTHEAST OF THE
SYSTEM.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
   A. THIS IS THE INITIAL PROGNOSTIC REASONING AND SETS THE FORECAST
PHILOSOPHY.
   B. TD 13W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY NORTHWEST TO
WEST THROUGH TAU 36 AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
THE STR. AFTER TAU 36, DIRECT CYCLONE INTERACTION (DCI) IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE AS TD 13W BEGINS TO ORBIT
AROUND NEWLY FORMED TD 12W. SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE EARLY FORECAST PERIODS, REACHING 45 KNOTS BY TAU 72, AS
MODERATELY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS OF WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES,
LOW TO MODERATE VWS, AND GOOD OUTFLOW.
   C. TD 13W IS EXPECTED CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH TD 12W IN THE
EXTENDED TAUS, AND EVENTUALLY MERGE INTO EACH OTHER BY TAU 120. SLOW
INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS THESE TWO SYSTEMS
CONSOLIDATE AND REACH TYPHOON STRENGTH BY TAU 120. DYNAMIC MODEL
GUIDANCE IS SPREAD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE PROXIMITY
OF TD 12W AND THE DCI. THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST DUE
TO THIS. ADDITIONALLY, DUE TO THE LARGE AMOUNT OF DCI ANTICIPATED IN
THIS SCENARIO, IT IS EXPECTED THAT GLOBAL MODELS WILL STRUGGLE TO
AGREE IN FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY.//
NNNN附注:
TD - Tropical Depression
Kadena AB - Kadena Air Base
MSI - Multispectral Satellite Imagery
LLCC - Low Level Circulation Centre
TRMM - Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission
VWS - Vertical Wind Shear
STR - Subtropical Ridge
DCI - Direct Cyclone Interaction

loppyname 发表于 2013-8-17 17:05

【#02】08.17-06Z

1、供气象专业人士使用
2、6小时概况与分析
热带低压(TD)13W 目前位于嘉手纳空军基地(Kadena AB)东北偏东约 82海里(~150公里),过往六小时以时速 9海里(17公里)向西移动。多频卫星图像(MSI)动画显示 13W 的结构在过往六小时稍有改变,对流情况未有改善,系统南侧似乎出现一裸露环流,多中心情况可能出现;17日0436Z 的 AMSU-B 微波影像显示有限的对流继续维持在系统北侧。目前定位根据以上提及的多频卫星图像(MSI)动画,定位因系统的多中心情况而信心度低。目前强度估测 25海里,基于所有机构的德法强度估计和系统不变的结构。高空分析显示系统正处于一副热带高压脊的南方,身处环境开始转坏,因为一高空低压开始明显地处于系统正南方,而限制了系统的流出。垂直风切变(VWS)维持低至中等(5-15海里)。13W 正沿位于其北面的底至中层副热带高压(STR)南侧向西移动。
3. 预报理由
A. 此预报理由与上报无异。
B. 预料 13W 会继续沿副热带高压(STR)边沿向西移动,直至 36小时后直接气旋互动(DCI)情况会成为引导 13W 的主要因素,并预料 13W 会沿 12W 旋绕。预料 13W 将在稍好的环境里(暖海温,低至中等风切,流出改善)于短期预报时段里缓慢增强。
C. 在延伸其预报里,预料 13W 会与 12W 相互影响,并在 120小时后之前合并。基于直接气旋互动(DCI)的不确定性和与 12W 的距离,数值模式对预报路径明显分开两派:部分数值模式继续显示 12W 与 13W 之间产生直接气旋互动(DCI);而部分显示 12W 会成为主要引导,并且其制造的恶劣高空环境会令 13W 减弱。综合而言,我们对预测信心度低。
WDPN33 PGTW 170900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN)
WARNING NR 02//
RMKS//
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 82 NM
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
REVEALS THE STRUCTURE OF TD 13W HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS AS CONVECTION HAS NOT IMPROVED, ALTHOUGH MULTIPLE VORTICES
SEEM TO BE PRESENT AS AN EXPOSED CIRCULATION BRIEFLY MADE AN
APPEARANCE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. A 170436Z AMSU-B MICROWAVE SHOWS THE
LIMITED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO REMAIN ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY
OF THE LLCC. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED UPON THE MSI LOOP WITH
LOW CONFIDENCE DUE TO THE MULTIPLE CIRCULATIONS IN THE AREA. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN ASSESSED AT 25 KNOTS BASED UPON DVORAK
INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM ALL AGENCIES AND THE UNCHANGED STRUCTURE OF
THE SYSTEM. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED SOUTH
OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND IS IN A DECREASING ENVIRONMENT AS
AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW HAS BECOME MORE PRONOUNCED DIRECTLY SOUTH OF THE
SYSTEM WHICH HAS LIMITED THE OUTFLOW DESPITE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
STAYING AT LOW TO MODERATE (05-15 KNOTS) LEVELS. TD 13W IS CURRENTLY
TRACKING WEST ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL
SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE (STR) NORTH OF THE SYSTEM.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
   A. NO CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS
PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
   B. TD 13W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY WEST THROUGH
TAU 36 AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE STR. AFTER
TAU 36, DIRECT CYCLONE INTERACTION (DCI) IS EXPECTED TO BECOME THE
DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE AS TD 13W BEGINS TO ORBIT AROUND TD 12W.
SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY FORECAST PERIODS,
AS MODERATELY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS OF WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES,
LOW TO MODERATE VWS, AND IMPROVED OUTFLOW ARE EXPECTED.
   C. TD 13W IS EXPECTED CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH TD 12W IN THE
EXTENDED TAUS, AND EVENTUALLY MERGE INTO EACH OTHER BY TAU 120. SLOW
INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS THESE TWO SYSTEMS
CONSOLIDATE AND REACH TYPHOON STRENGTH BY TAU 120. DYNAMIC MODEL
GUIDANCE IS SPREAD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE PROXIMITY
OF TD 12W, AND THE DCI, AS TWO DIFFERENT SCENARIOS HAVE BECOME
CLEAR. SOME MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE CONTINUED DCI WHILE SOME
SEEM TO INDICATE THAT TD 12W WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT CIRCULATION IN
THIS SCENARIO AND CALL FOR TD 13W TO WEAKEN AS TD 12W CREATES AN
UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE
FORECAST DUE TO THIS.//
NNNN附注:
TD - Tropical Depression
Kadena AB - Kadena Air Base
MSI - Multispectral Satellite Imagery
AMSU - Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit
VWS - Vertical Wind Shear
STR - Subtropical Ridge
DCI - Direct Cyclone Interaction

loppyname 发表于 2013-8-17 22:35

【#03】08.18-12Z

1、供气象专业人士使用
2、6小时概况与分析
热带低压(TD)13W 目前位于嘉手纳空军基地(Kadena AB)东北偏北约 58海里(~110公里),过往六小时以时速 11海里(20公里)向西北偏西移动。动态红外线卫星云图(IR)显示对流有所加深,并继续旋绕着难以辨认的低层环流中心(LLCC);17日1055Z SSMIS 91GHS 微波影像显示对流仍然零碎,并散布在系统北侧,显示系统组织没有真正改善。由于红外线卫星云图(IR)的含糊性,目前定位基于以上提及的微波影像。基于所有机构的德法强度估计和系统不变的结构,目前强度估测维持 25海里。高空分析显示系统正位于副热带高压(STR)南侧,并身处在一差至中等的环境,因为位于系统南方的高空低压令垂直风切变(VWS)增加至中等水平(10-20海里),以及限制了系统的流出。13W 正沿位于其北面的底至中层副热带高压(STR)南侧向西北偏西移动。
3. 预报理由
A. 此预报理由与上报无异。
B. 预料 13W 会继续沿副热带高压(STR)边沿向西移动,直至 36小时后直接气旋互动(DCI)情况会成为引导 13W 的主要因素,并预料 13W 会沿 12W 旋绕。预料 13W 将在稍好的环境里(暖海温,低至中等风切,流出改善)于短期预报时段里缓慢增强。 12W 的位置和强度会令 13W 身处高空环境较预期差,并导致预测强度有所下调。
C. 在延伸其预报里,预料 13W 会与 12W 相互影响,并在 96小时后之前合并。数值模式明显分开两派:ECMWF、JGSM、NAVGEM 认为 13W 会在短期预报期里快速西移,在 72小时后之前登陆中国,并因恶劣高空环境和地形摩擦影响而快速消散。EGRR、GFDN、GFS 继续显示直接气旋互动(DCI)情况会发生,而96小时后之前 13W 会于 12W 合并。基于数值模式的分析,我们对预报维持低信心。WDPN33 PGTW 171500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN)
WARNING NR 03//
RMKS//
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (THIRTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 58 NM
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY (IR) REVEALS THE STRUCTURE OF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO
STRUGGLE DESPITE SOME SLIGHT DEEPENING OF THE CONVECTION AROUND THE
ILL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 171055Z SSMIS
91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE FRAGMENTED
ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS COMPACT SYSTEM WITH NO REAL
IMPROVEMENTS TO THE OVERALL ORGANIZATION. THE INITIAL POSITION IS
MOSTLY BASED UPON THE AFOREMENTIONED MICROWAVE IMAGE DUE TO LARGE
AMOUNTS OF AMBIGUITY IN THE IR LOOP. THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN
HELD AT 25 KNOTS BASED UPON DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM ALL
AGENCIES AND THE UNCHANGED STRUCTURE OF THE SYSTEM. UPPER-LEVEL
ANALYSIS REVEALS THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE AXIS AND IS IN POOR TO MODERATE ENVIRONMENT AS AN UPPER-LEVEL
LOW SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM HAS LIMITED THE OUTFLOW AND SLIGHTLY
INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO MODERATE (10-20 KNOTS) LEVELS. TD
13W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE (STR)
NORTH OF THE SYSTEM.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
   A. NO CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS
PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
   B. TD 13W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY WEST THROUGH
TAU 36 AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE STR. AFTER
TAU 36, DIRECT CYCLONE INTERACTION (DCI) IS EXPECTED TO BECOME THE
DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE AS TD 13W BEGINS TO ORBIT AROUND AND
INTO TD 12W. SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY
FORECAST PERIODS, AS MODERATELY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS OF WARM SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW TO MODERATE VWS, AND IMPROVED OUTFLOW ARE
EXPECTED. THE PROXIMITY AND INTENSITY OF NEIGHBORING TD 12W COULD
CREATE A LESS FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WHICH WOULD LEAD TO
A LOWER INTENSITY FORECAST.
   C. TD 13W IS EXPECTED CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH TD 12W IN THE
EXTENDED TAUS, AND EVENTUALLY MERGE INTO TD 12W BY TAU 96. DYNAMIC
MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW TWO DISTICT SCENARIOS WITH THIS
SYSTEM. ECMWF, JGSM AND NAVGEM SHOW TD 13W TRACKING FASTER AND
FURTHER WEST IN THE EARLY TAUS. THIS SCENARIO TRACKS THE SYSTEM INTO
MAINLAND CHINA BY TAU 72 AND RAPIDLY DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM DUE TO
THE UNFAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND LAND INTERACTION. EGRR,
GFDN, AND GFS CONTINUE TO SHOW A DCI SCENARIO WITH A MERGE OF THE
TWO SYSTEMS BY TAU 96. LOW CONFIDENCE REMAINS IN THE FORECAST DUE
THE SEPERATE SCENARIOS DISPLAYED BY THE MODELS.//
NNNN附注:
TD - Tropical Depression
Kadena AB - Kadena Air Base
IR - Infrared Satellite Image
LLCC - Low Level Circulation Centre
SSMIS - Special Sensor Microwave Imager/Sounder
STR - Subtropical Ridge
VWS - Vertical Wind Shear
DCI - Direct Cyclone Interaction
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
JGSM - Japanese Global Spectral Model
NAVGEM - Navy Global Environmental Model
GFDN - Navy version of Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory(GFDL)
GFS - Global Forecast System
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