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中东太/北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖(2019年)

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金玉良言

发表于 2019-4-19 20:58 | 显示全部楼层
80.phase1.png 80.phase2.png 80.track.png 360截图18200501537775.png
A_sfc_full_ocean_color.png
360截图1742092310513095.png

如上图所示,17楼-19楼提到的系统目前已经生成,目前为一个夹在两个冷高压中间的锋面气旋,数值表示后期会南下发展,但是难以达到较高的强度
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论坛版主-副热带高压

ghj说不抢帖会后悔半个月,咕咕咕

Rank: 7Rank: 7Rank: 7

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发表于 2019-5-1 22:12 | 显示全部楼层

Special Tropical Weather Outlook

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
925 AM EDT Wed May 1 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A trough of low pressure located over the northwestern Bahamas is
producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.  Little
development is expected during the next couple of days as the
system moves generally northwestward toward the Florida Peninsula.
Subsequently, some slow development is possible as the disturbance
turns northeastward and moves over the western Atlantic.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over
portions of the Bahamas and the Florida Peninsula during the next
couple of days.  The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be
issued by 10 AM EDT Thursday, or sooner if conditions warrant.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Beven
two_atl_2d0.png
two_atl_2d1.png
two_atl_5d0.png
two_atl_5d1.png
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发表于 2019-5-2 16:10 | 显示全部楼层
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论坛版主-副热带高压

ghj说不抢帖会后悔半个月,咕咕咕

Rank: 7Rank: 7Rank: 7

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14374
发表于 2019-5-2 22:10 | 显示全部楼层

NHC:10%/10%

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
950 AM EDT Thu May 2 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A trough of low pressure that extends from South Florida
northeastward over the western Atlantic for a few hundred miles
is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Environmental conditions are not expected to be conducive for
significant development of this system while it moves northwestward,
and then northward over the Florida peninsula and near the southeast
United States coast during the next day or so. This system is
forecast to merge with a frontal system later this weekend.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over
portions of the Bahamas and the Florida peninsula during the next
day or so.
The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued
by 10 AM EDT Friday, or sooner if conditions warrant.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Brown
two_atl_2d0.png
two_atl_2d1.png
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two_atl_5d1.png
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论坛版主-副热带高压

ghj说不抢帖会后悔半个月,咕咕咕

Rank: 7Rank: 7Rank: 7

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14374
发表于 2019-5-3 22:05 | 显示全部楼层

NHC:10%/10%

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
940 AM EDT Fri May 3 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A surface trough and broad area of low pressure over northeastern
Florida is producing a large area disorganized showers and
thunderstorms over the far western Atlantic waters.  Environmental
conditions are not expected to be conducive for significant
development of this system while it moves northeastward along the
southeast coast of the United States through Saturday. Later this
weekend, the system is expected to merge with a frontal system off
the east coast of the United States.
  Regardless of development,
locally heavy rainfall is possible over eastern portions of the
Florida peninsula and along the southeast United States coast during
the next day or so.  The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will
be issued by 10 AM EDT Saturday, or sooner if conditions warrant.
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Brown
two_atl_2d0.png
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two_atl_5d0.png
two_atl_5d1.png
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论坛版主-副热带高压

ghj说不抢帖会后悔半个月,咕咕咕

Rank: 7Rank: 7Rank: 7

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发表于 2019-5-4 21:15 | 显示全部楼层

NHC:0%/0%

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
810 AM EDT Sat May 4 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity located offshore of
the coast the Carolinas is associated with a broad area of low
pressure. Environmental conditions are not conducive for tropical
cyclone development and this system is expected to move
northeastward and merge with a frontal system off the United States
east coast by Sunday night. Additional information on this system
can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service. This will be the last Special Tropical Weather Outlook
issued on this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on
June 1, 2019. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather
Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Brennan
two_atl_2d0.png
two_atl_2d1.png
two_atl_5d0.png
two_atl_5d1.png

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 32N78W 1012 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN
120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 34N73W 1011 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 38N67W 1007 MB. WITHIN 420 NM S AND SE
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 39N53W 1006 MB. WITHIN 360 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
A_sfc_full_ocean_color.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-5-7 21:56 | 显示全部楼层
前几天北大西洋系统云团编号
GENESIS001, AL, L, , , , , 71, 2019, DB, O, 2019050112, 9999999999, , 001, , , , GENESIS, , AL712019
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强热带风暴

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发表于 2019-5-27 23:39 | 显示全部楼层
91E以西的熱帶雲團能否獨立發展?渦度泛橙。
91E 1.png
91E 2.gif
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发表于 2019-5-28 15:50 | 显示全部楼层
厦门什么时候停雨
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发表于 2019-5-29 02:44 | 显示全部楼层
91E以西的熱帶雲團能否獨立發展?渦度泛橙。
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue May 28 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

[strike]1. A weak area of low pressure located over the far eastern Pacific[/strike]
[strike]continues to produce showers and thunderstorms over portions of[/strike]
[strike]Costa Rica, Nicaragua, and the adjacent Pacific waters.  This[/strike]
[strike]system is expected to move inland over Central America on Wednesday[/strike]
[strike]and development appears unlikely.  Even though development is not[/strike]
[strike]anticipated, locally heavy rains are likely to continue over[/strike]
[strike]portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next[/strike]
[strike]several days. These rains could cause flash flooding and mudslides[/strike]
[strike]in areas of mountainous terrain.[/strike]
[strike]* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.[/strike]
[strike]* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.[/strike]

2. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few
hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico is associated
with a trough of low pressure. Some gradual development of this
system is possible during the next several days as it moves slowly
northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Latto/Cangialosi
two_pac_2d0.png
two_pac_2d2.png
two_pac_5d0.png
two_pac_5d2.png
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