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中东太/北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖(2019年)

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有贴自远方来,不亦抢乎?

积分
3002
发表于 2019-6-21 17:39 | 显示全部楼层

NHC:0%/30%

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Jun 20 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. An area of low pressure is expected to form a few hundred miles
south of the southwestern coast of Mexico in a few days.
Environmental conditions could support gradual development of this
system while it moves west-northwestward through early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky


two_pac_2d0.png two_pac_5d1.png
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1万

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论坛版主-副热带高压

ghj说不抢帖会后悔半个月,咕咕咕

Rank: 7Rank: 7Rank: 7

积分
14374
发表于 2019-6-21 21:20 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Jun 21 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A low pressure system is expected to form within the next few days
several hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
Environmental conditions could support gradual development of this
system while it moves west-northwestward through the middle of next
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi
two_pac_2d0.png two_pac_5d1.png
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4281

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论坛版主-副热带高压

ghj说不抢帖会后悔半个月,咕咕咕

Rank: 7Rank: 7Rank: 7

积分
14374
发表于 2019-6-22 08:30 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Jun 21 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A low pressure system is expected to form early next week a few
hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico.  Gradual
development of the low is possible thereafter while it moves
west-northwestward away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi
two_pac_2d0.png two_pac_5d1.png

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Jun 21 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A low pressure system is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the southwestern coast of Mexico in a few days.  Gradual
development of the low is possible thereafter and a tropical
depression could form while it moves west-northwestward away from
the coast of Mexico through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky
two_pac_2d0.png two_pac_5d1.png
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14

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3420

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积分
3420
发表于 2019-6-22 13:21 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Jun 21 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A low pressure system is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the southwestern coast of Mexico in a couple of days.
Gradual development of the low is possible thereafter and a tropical
depression could form while it moves west-northwestward away from
the coast of Mexico through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky
two_pac_2d0.png

two_pac_5d0.png
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6

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1654

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强热带风暴

积分
1654
发表于 2019-6-22 19:37 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Jun 22 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A low pressure system is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the southwestern coast of Mexico in a couple of days.
Gradual development of the low is possible thereafter and a tropical
depression could form while it moves west-northwestward away from
the coast of Mexico through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Brown
two_pac_2d0.png

two_pac_5d1.png gfs_mslp_wind_epac_24.png
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强热带风暴

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1654
发表于 2019-6-23 02:13 | 显示全部楼层

NHC:10%/60%

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Jun 22 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located southeast of the
southern coast of Mexico are associated with a tropical wave.
A low pressure area is expected to form in association with this
system in a couple of days and gradual development is possible
while it moves west-northwestward away from the coast of Mexico
through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Brown
two_pac_2d0 (1).png two_pac_5d1 (1).png sfcwind_mslp.mx.png
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468

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1209

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强热带风暴

Dorian 160Kt 实测911hPa

积分
1209
发表于 2019-6-23 08:53 | 显示全部楼层
two_pac_5d0.png two_pac_2d0.png
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Jun 22 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located south of the
southeastern coast of Mexico are associated with a tropical wave.
A low pressure area is expected to form in association with this
system in the next day or two.  After that, continued gradual
development is possible, and a tropical depression could form by
the middle of next week while the system moves west-northwestward
away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.


Forecaster Beven



这都不编扰?!
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论坛版主-副热带高压

ghj说不抢帖会后悔半个月,咕咕咕

Rank: 7Rank: 7Rank: 7

积分
14374
发表于 2019-6-23 13:48 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Jun 22 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred
miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with
a tropical wave.  A low pressure area is expected to form in
association with this system in the next day or so.  Continued
development is expected after that, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by the middle of next week
while the system moves
west-northwestward away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Beven
two_pac_2d0.png two_pac_2d1.png two_pac_5d1.png
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积分
4121
 楼主| 发表于 2019-6-23 13:50 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sa...
去年某一个扰动80%的90%才编扰
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40

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468

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1209

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强热带风暴

Dorian 160Kt 实测911hPa

积分
1209
发表于 2019-6-23 14:52 | 显示全部楼层
去年某一个扰动80%的90%才编扰
那这个就算比较孤立了吧?
http://bbs.typhoon.org.cn/read.php?tid=78735&fid=56
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