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中东太/北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖(2019年)

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 楼主| 发表于 2019-6-23 15:44 | 显示全部楼层
那这个就算比较孤立了吧?
http://bbs.typhoon.org.cn/read.php?tid=79153&fid=56
还有的比如今年1月的90E,连概率都没有
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ghj说不抢帖会后悔半个月,咕咕咕

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发表于 2019-6-23 19:40 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Jun 23 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred
miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with
a tropical wave.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development of this system during the next several days,
and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the
week while the system moves west-northwestward away from the coast
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Brown
two_pac_2d0.png two_pac_2d1.png two_pac_5d1.png
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有贴自远方来,不亦抢乎?

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发表于 2019-6-23 20:27 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sa...
像去年的\"Walaka\",一直等到40%/70%时才被编为97C,虽然说它是由CPHC管的
(另外反映一个问题,就是首页的CPHC的自动更新图都挂了,好像是因为NHC和CPHC的官网合在了一起,图片链接对不上号才挂的,麻烦版主们尽快处理一下这个问题)
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发表于 2019-6-27 03:36 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Jun 26 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Alvin, located a several hundred miles
southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.

1. An area of low pressure is expected to develop in a few days
several hundred miles southwest of the southern coast of Mexico.
Some slow development of this system is possible over the weekend
and into early next week as it moves westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Alvin are issued under WMO
header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Alvin are issued under
WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1.

Forecaster Latto/Zelinsky
two_pac_5d0.png

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发表于 2019-6-27 16:14 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Jun 26 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Alvin, located several hundred miles south of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. An area of low pressure is expected to develop in a few days several
hundred miles southwest of the southern coast of Mexico.  Some slow
development of this system is possible over the weekend and into
early next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Stewart
nhc 1.png
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发表于 2019-6-27 19:45 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 炎煌深沉 于 2019-6-27 19:47 编辑

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Jun 27 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Alvin, located several hundred miles south of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. An area of low pressure is expected to develop in a few days several
hundred miles southwest of the southern coast of Mexico.  Some slow
development of this system is possible thereafter and a tropical
depression could develop by late this weekend or early next week
while it moves westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky
two_pac_2d0.png
two_pac_5d1.png
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发表于 2019-6-28 08:48 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 炎煌深沉 于 2019-6-28 13:45 编辑

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Jun 27 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Alvin, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and a few
thunderstorms several hundred miles south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec.  An area of low pressure is expected to develop from
this wave over the next couple of days, and a tropical depression
could form by late this weekend or early next week while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward well away from the coast of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Berg
CE13786F-44F6-4D66-9F5F-0A8F0BF9F929.png
97158765-093C-425C-8763-626A5AE89CB6.png
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ghj说不抢帖会后悔半个月,咕咕咕

Rank: 7Rank: 7Rank: 7

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发表于 2019-6-28 13:46 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Jun 27 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Alvin, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.

1. A tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the Gulf
of Tehuantepec is producing disorganized showers and a few
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for the development of this system over the next several
days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend
or early next week while the disturbance moves westward to west-
northwestward well away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Brown
two_pac_2d0.png
two_pac_2d1.png
two_pac_5d1.png

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发表于 2019-6-28 22:41 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Jun 28 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Storm Alvin, located several hundred miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest
of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for the development of this system over the next several
days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend
or early next week while the disturbance moves westward to west-
northwestward well away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Beven
two_pac_2d0.png
two_pac_2d1.png
two_pac_5d0.png
two_pac_5d1.png

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ghj说不抢帖会后悔半个月,咕咕咕

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发表于 2019-6-29 07:40 | 显示全部楼层
2. An area of low pressure is expected to form by the middle of next
week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico.
Conditions appear favorable for development of this system while it
moves westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
two_pac_2d0.png
two_pac_5d2.png

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