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[2019] 北大西洋96L - 14.0N 42.5W - NHC:20%

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发表于 2019-9-13 20:55 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
本帖最后由 颱風巨爵 于 2019-9-15 12:50 编辑

96L INVEST 190913 1200 13.5N 38.8W ATL 20 1009

20190913.1230.goes-16.ir.96L.INVEST.15kts.1011mb.12N.45W.100pc.jpg
two_atl_2d1.png two_atl_5d1.png

1. A tropical wave located midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and
the Lesser Antilles is producing a large but disorganized area of
cloudiness and showers.  Conditions are expected to become more
conducive for development in a couple days, and a tropical
depression could form early next week while the system moves
westward across the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

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发表于 2019-9-14 07:13 | 显示全部楼层

NHC:20%/50%

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Nine, centered over the central Bahamas. This
system is gradually becoming better organized, and if this trend
continues, a tropical depression or tropical storm may develop later
this afternoon or evening as the system drifts northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

1. A tropical wave located about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands
and the Lesser Antilles is producing a large but disorganized area
of cloudiness and showers.  Conditions are expected to become more
conducive for development in a couple days, and a tropical
depression could form early next week while the system moves
westward across the tropical Atlantic and approaches the eastern
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.


2. Another tropical wave is located several hundred miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands.  Gradual development of this system is
possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression
could form early next week while it moves westward across the
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued
under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued
under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

Forecaster Latto
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two_atl_5d0.png
two_atl_5d1.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-9-14 07:58 | 显示全部楼层

NHC:10%/30%

本帖最后由 炎煌深沉 于 2019-9-14 08:00 编辑

1. A fast-moving tropical wave is located about 1100 miles east of the
Lesser Antilles. This system is producing limited shower activity
and only gradual development is anticipated during the next couple
of days while the wave moves quickly westward across the tropical
Atlantic. Conditions could be a little more conducive for
development in a few days when the wave moves over the eastern
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
two_atl_2d1.png
two_atl_5d1.png
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ghj说不抢帖会后悔半个月,咕咕咕

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 楼主| 发表于 2019-9-14 13:57 | 显示全部楼层

NHC:10%/20%

本帖最后由 炎煌深沉 于 2019-9-14 14:05 编辑

1. A fast-moving tropical wave is located about 1000 miles east of the
Lesser Antilles.  This system is producing limited shower activity,
and development, if any, should be slow to occur during the next
couple of days while the wave moves quickly westward across the
tropical Atlantic.  Conditions could be a little more conducive for
development in a few days when the wave moves over the eastern
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
two_atl_2d1.png
two_atl_5d1.png
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论坛版主-副热带高压

ghj说不抢帖会后悔半个月,咕咕咕

Rank: 7Rank: 7Rank: 7

积分
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 楼主| 发表于 2019-9-14 19:50 | 显示全部楼层

NHC:0%/10%

本帖最后由 炎煌深沉 于 2019-9-14 20:02 编辑

1. A fast-moving tropical wave is located about 950 miles east
of the Lesser Antilles.  This system is producing limited shower
activity, and significant development of this system is not
anticipated during the next several days while it moves
quickly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
two_atl_2d1.png
two_atl_5d1.png
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